There's a bit more to it than what the % chance of your hand is winning at showdown ! The thing is when people call your raise you aren't playing against 3 or 4 random hands are you ? You are playing against 3 or 4 people who have called your raise. Also one of the most important and often underestimated things in hold 'em is position. In the example we are on about you are in the worst position possible almost, raising with 9 people still to act. Exactly how often are you getting the pot heads up in a full ring game anyway ? Not very often. Even if you do you're still in bad position. Are you going to bet the whole way regardless of overcards falling or check-call it ?
You still didn't answer that. Or is this the answer......
Quote:
|
If I don't and an overcard hits then I'm done.
|
How many times has an overcard hit by the river ? Why would you want to be involved in a pot you don't have to be in the worst position possible ?
Quote:
|
You've got equity in the pot against random hands.
|
You aren't playing against random hands though as I've already said.
KK or AA has much less chance (or no chance) of an overcard falling on the flop or afterwards.
So what happens once you raise 4 x BB with pocket 10s. Two or three callers after you suppose. Now even 1 overcard flops are you betting ?
No overcards flop and you bet and get 2 callers, are you still betting ?
1 overcard flops are you betting ? Why raise 4 BBs when so often an overcard IS going to flop and you are in horrid position ?
You are in horrid POSITION and there's all sorts of ways to lose and you've no real idea of the strength of your hand. You really need to flop a set so why raise 4 BBs when effectively "drawing" to a set ? TT is good heads up, for an all in in a tournament. This isn't a tournament and this isn't heads up and you have decisions on the flop turn and river all of which could cost money. It's not a case of all in and hope your TT holds up to two overcards.