I think you're spot on with that analysis, Crowie,
but, I'm very wary of backing against Scotland here, even though there's very little evidence to suggest it'll be anything other than a home win. Scotland absolutely cannot afford to lose and I feel the players may well be capable of digging in and turning this match into a real battle and may even manage to steal a flukey goal somehow (
). A backs to the wall gritty, defensive display from Scotland wouldn't surprise me but I think, on paper, it's right to go for the home win.
If anyone knows where I can get video footage of Belarus's goals or some match reports of their games in English, that would let me decide for sure as I can't remember the last time I saw them play. I'll go have a dig around.