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Old 02-01-2006, 06:44
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Re: English Prem 2/3/4th Jan

Those odds on Wigan are looking really stupid actually to me. Granted they looked tired in their last match v Blackburn and this could be the reason I back them in a Draw No bet. This bet at 11/10 against a Brum side who have only beaten Fulham, West brom and Sunderland this season.

When you consider thats the only 3 sides theyve beaten and theyve got a 1-2-6 home record id consider myself very unlucky if I didnt at least return my stake. At against odds surely its good value I cant see why Birmingham should be favourites.

Man U cant really resist taking on the level ball handicap. Best I can get is 2.08 at Laddies so I may wait to see if Betfair can produce better but id still take that 2.08 no probs.

I looked at the recent head to heads which I do believe have some credence in big name match ups like this. In 2004 they played 5 times, Man U came out 3-1-1 (the 2 league match ups going 1 win for Man U and 1 draw). In 2005 they played twice Man U winning 1 and drawing the other. So last 7 match ups Man Utd are 4-2-1 so they definitely have the edge over Arsenal.

Add to this edge Arsenal being at their worst for years and Man Utd having Rooney at his best ever form and I reeally do think this is a very good bet.

By the way as an added - that single Arsenal win from the last 7 encounters was in the Charity shield and I dont even know if thats counts as a totally competitive match. So if you dont count that its 4-2-0 in last 6 in favour of the red devils (altho you could say 1 of Uniteds wins in the Carling Cup isnt entirely competitive either ).
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