For fuck sake is nothing sacred....this article has a mistake in it...
the paragraph...
Quote:
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If you have only four outs, our quick proximate measure (4 outs x 2 + 2 = 10) is very close to the actual figure of 10.5. If you have 15 outs, our quick measure yields a figure of 32, while the mathematically precise figure is 32.6 percent.
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These are percentages with one card to come btw
He's made a mistake here. The percentage of hitting when you have four outs is 8.69% (4/46). This is odds of odds of 10.5 to 1. He's got the odds mixed up with the percentage. In his next example the percetange of hitting (wtih one card to come) with 15 outs is indeed 32.6% (46/15) or odds of 2.07 to one.
Anyway other than that the article looks ok I think :think