Did a bit more reading today on these play off games and I am going for an about turn on the Lincoln v Macclesfield tie.
I had laid a very small bit of Lincoln at 1.75 on
Betfair so got rid of that. Instead I am taking Lincoln to win at home tomorrow evening.
From Sporting Life
Quote:
While their form has been slightly up and down in recent weeks they have recorded good victories against promoted Swansea and Scunthorpe, and their semi-final opponents Macclesfield, managing to keep clean sheets in all three games.
At Sincil Bank they have not conceded a goal in their last five games, and this is the sort of form you want your defence to be in heading into come the end-of-season promotion lottery.
Indeed, with just three defeats from their last 10 games Alexander would have settled for that back in March and he has come out in the press this week and stated that his players are confident, relaxed and used to playing these extra games!
Their opponents Macclesfield have surprised a lot of people by the way they have performed this season and great credit must go to Brian Horton and his coaching staff.
Rated as potential relegation candidates at the start of the season the Silkmen made a fine start and never looked back, and more than deserve their place in the play-offs.
However, just two wins from their last nine doesn't bode well in terms of carrying any sort of form into these vital games and as we see year after year, it's the sides that hit form late on that nearly always prosper.
The fact they were well beaten by the Imps just a few weeks ago will not have helped matters and the pressure will be on them to take a first leg lead back to Lincolnshire.
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So Lincoln no goals conceded in last 5 at home, 4 wins (including 2-0 over Macclesfield) and a draw in that period. Game before that, on 5th March, saw them lose 3-2 at home to Wycombe. You then have to go back another 10 games to 23rd October to find another home loss for Lincoln.
Up against Macclesfield, as mentioned above 2 wins in 9, one of those on last day of season v poor Rushden. No wins in last 5 away and only scored 1 in those 5 away games.
On closer inspection a Lincoln home win in the first leg looks a good bet.
5pts on Lincoln at 2.15 with Pinnacle.
Lincoln probably need a decent home win as Macclesfield are decent on their own ground and Lincoln have lost last 3 away.