Imo WAS your confusing home and away form here cos theres a big difference between the 2 for me. Both teams being much better at home.
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Arsenal have beaten Boro, Birmingham and Wigan recently and they also drew with Bolton and Man U.
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All those 5 results bar Birmingham were at home. Also they lost to Wigan as well as beating them, which one did they lose? The away leg.
I also think Liverpools uninspiring run is down to 5 of those 7 games you mention being on the road. We all know Liverpool can be dodgy away from home but are much much better at home.
Im not definitely going to be on Liverpool here bit I think 6/5 is very backable as they look to have around a 50/50 chance of winning here for me.