[Stitch]

CET 15:00 AC Horsens v AaB

Horsens is, without no doubt, the team, who have suprised most this season. Everyone expected them to be clear relegaters, but they have proved their doubters wrong, and is now almost safe.
The reason for Horsen's surprisingly position is, that they have been very solid in the back. They have got the division's fourth best defence and especially in the autumn they were almost unbreakable. But when it became clear, that Horsens wouldn't relegate, everyone seemed to have relaxed, which have resulted in three consecutive defeats.
But especially in last weekend they were unlucky, conceding a goal in the ref's extra time, which meant, that they lost 0-1 to the leading team FC København.
Home Horsens have been pretty average, but the key to the success of Horsens, is, that they have lost incredible few matches - ten in all.
Another reason for the success of Horsens is, that everyone is giving 100 per cent in every match and that they don't overestimate their own abilities.
Horsens will get Johan Byrial Hansen back after injury.

AaB is, along with AGF, this season's most dissapointing team. Their ambitions was to go through the first stages of Royal League, finishing in the top 4 in the Superliga and finally win the Cup. Nothing will come true, because Thursday AaB lost to the 1. division team Randers FC on aggregate in the Cup, which was a huge dissapointment for everyone involved with AaB.
The fans went berserk and attacked the players cars, and no one can hide, that there is a big crisis in AaB.
The fact is, that AaB haven't won a league match in this spring yet, meaning six draws and three defeats. They have played awful, and it's like the players are lacking confidence and belief. It's like they don't believe they can win the matches, and coach Erik Hamren is switching team almost constantly.
I saw them last weekend and i was shocked: it was the poorest AaB side I've ever seen, lacking creativity and flow.
Besides that, Erik Hamren is also having a lot of injuries. Daniel Hoch, Jon Roi Jacobsen, Michael Jakobsen, Mattias Lindström, Patrick Kristensen, Artim Sakiri and Kenneth Stenild are all unavailable, while defender Danny Califf is doubtful. Some of them are important absentees, and especially the defence is badly hurt.

AaB is very bad, and is hit by injuries. They played Thursday in the Cup, and was knocked out. That hurts, the players are lacking confidence, creativity and courage. They are still looking for their first victory in the spring, but it doesn't seems like they will get it tomorrow.
Horsens is looking for a victory, who can secure them against relegation, in fact I think a draw is enough. But they will give it a go, and be all over AaB. Especially Besart Berisha will be a difficult to handle, and see good chances for a home victory.

The price for Horsens is great, but since there still is a risk for a draw, I'm a bit curious, and will only invest 2 units on Horsens. But the price offers great value.

2 units on Horsens v AaB 1 2,60 (Expekt)