Thread: Niche
View Single Post
  #1 (permalink)  
Old 28-06-2005, 11:38
Keith's Avatar
Keith Keith jest offline
Was once Was
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 2108
Nominated 0 Times in 0 Posts
TOTW/F/M Award(s): 0
Keith has disabled reputation
Niche

Some of you will no doubt laugh and sneer at what I am about to say and will accuse me of "stating the bleedin obvious". You may be right and in some areas of my gambling life I will accept that I am still quite naive.

But I do want to share my thoughts as there are still a number of other members who are young and inexperienced.

Some of you may have noticed that I have stumbled into the world of Irish Football and this was really only to give me an interest during the summer months.

The success however is nothing short of stunning especially when you bear in mind that three weeks ago I would have been hard pressed to even name more than a couple of Irish teams let alone give an opinion on their prospects of winning week in week out.

During last season I spent 10 long hard months accumulating a profit of 250pts. The Irish football has given me a profit of 75pts in less than 1 month. This rate of return may not be sustained but it has made me think that there may be reasons behind such a performance other than the few hours labour.

I looked at some teams priced up at 2/1 or bigger and thought I must be missing something as their chances just seemed so obvious but no they just kept on winning

Also tavel mentioned in another thread that Punters Lounge were very good on the gambling front. I always thought that they had an over inflated opinion of themselves personally but then I tried to remember who did actually impress me.

The answer was in fact very few who generally frequented the English leagues and likewise those who wrote about the Spanish and Italian didn't impress either.

The real stars could be found in the minority interest areas such as Scotland, the lower ends of the non league scene, German 2nd division and one or two others.

My conclusion is that the odds complers spend about 3 seconds on each game in these minority interest leagues and their research does not extend beyond the current league table and last weeks results.

I can understand why and no doubt they are content simply to react to any weight of money.

Therefore the clever and anyone who is prepared to put a bit of effort in themselves are able to exploit a number of high value opportunities although I can imagine we would also have to be wary of getting greedy.

Next season I have a plan. I will continue to follow Premiership and Championship games as the form is more reliable and information is there in abundance. However I will ditch completely 1st and 2nd division games and will instead focus on say for example Conferencs South teams
Reply With Quote
Sponsored Links