View Single Post
  #13 (permalink)  
Old 14-08-2006, 12:07
steamroller steamroller jest offline
gamble for beer...cheers!
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 69
Nominated 0 Times in 0 Posts
TOTW/F/M Award(s): 0
steamroller has disabled reputation
Re: Monday 14th Aug Games



thought i'd add on to ovscouser's preview.
as vacheronlim says... this league is unpredictable.. eg. orebro yesterday !!

Trelleborg-vs-Assyriska

Swedish superettan game between no.2 v no.6 and a good opportunity for trelleborg to take the lead in the superettan league at least for the time being since bloody fcuking orebro drew their game against lowly sundsvall yesterday !!



Trelleborg has an overall record of p18-w11-d5-l2-f25-a5 with a home record @ w6-d2-l1-f18-a4. a superb defence letting in only 5 goals in 18 games – meanest defence in the league.

Assyriska has an overall record of p18-w7-d5-l6-f21-a21 with an away record @ w2-d5-l2-f10-a10. plays a tight game when playing away.



Recent games:

Trelleborg :

7 Aug 06





h Vasby IK FK (876)



2 - 1





W



31 Jul 06





a Qviding (536)



1 - 0





L



16 Jul 06





h Norrkoping (1170)



0 - 0





D



10 Jul 06





a Norrkoping (1167)



0 - 0





D



2 Jul 06





h Bromapojkarn (1327)



5 - 1





W



29 Jun 06





a Orebro (1499)



0 - 1





W



26 Jun 06





h Ljungskile (1142)



0 - 1





L



18 Jun 06





a Atvidaberg (966)



0 - 2





W



11 Jun 06





h Falkenberg (848)



3 - 0





W



5 Jun 06





a Degerfors (883)



0 - 0





D






Recent loss to qviding was a surprise (away game) and qviding is one team that can screw up your expectations although assyriska bounced back with a home win against qviding after a 4 game loss streak.



Assyriska:

6 Aug 06





h Qviding (655)



3 - 2





W



31 Jul 06





a Norrkoping (1214)



1 - 0





L



24 Jul 06





h Bromapojkarn (1315)



0 - 1





L



8 Jul 06





a Bromapojkarn (1232)



2 - 0





L



2 Jul 06





h Orebro (1349)



1 - 2





L



29 Jun 06





a Ljungskile (1306)



1 - 2





W



25 Jun 06





h Atvidaberg (870)



2 - 1





W



18 Jun 06





a Falkenberg (788)



1 - 1





D



14 Jun 06





h Degerfors (892)



0 - 3





L



5 Jun 06





a Umea (706)



0 - 2





W






H2h favors trelleborg :

1st May 06









Assyriska



v



Trelleborg



0 - 1



10th Aug 03









Trelleborg



v



Assyriska



5 - 1



20th Apr 03









Assyriska



v



Trelleborg



0 - 1



13th Oct 02









Trelleborg



v



Assyriska



1 - 0



14th Jul 02









Assyriska



v



Trelleborg



0 - 0






Imho, 1x2 is approx. 57%-25%-18% . I don’t see trelleborg losing this game but caution here must be how much confidence assyriska have in them coming into this game with a win after 4 games losing streak. Bet365 offered 1.80 earlier but that has dropped to presently ~ 1.66 now.



Judging by trelleborg’s mean defence and just sufficient to get the win by 1-0 or 2-0, unders 2.5 seems to be the best option although as you can see, at times when trelleborg do have the mood to score, overs comes in a jiff ! unders market quote’s ~ 1.80-1.85 seems generous & suspicious especially when my local bookie is offering 1.90 as if they are expecting overs in this game.



I’ll stick to unders.



Cheers.
Reply With Quote