Thread: Niche
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Old 29-06-2005, 14:07
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Re: Niche

At the risk of sounding like a perrenial double act I agree with what WAS is saying regarding the pricing up of teams.

With the number of bookmakers on the internet some books are scattered about the "imaginary" equilibrium mark I'd give a team.

Last season Skybet would stick there prices out on a Saturday night and IMO, that's just asking for trouble. I'd alwas try to encourage an "Early value" thread on the PL and I'll be doing the same thing this season here. Ofcourse, it'd be naive to assume that the books don't cross reference but if you're having a large single (or are operating to cut off points) there's a lot of difference between 4/5 and 5/4.

Another fairly interesting thing I noticed last year is that some books (particulary Betfair) had mid-week odds up the prior weekend. So if something drastic happens / is happening in the weekend game - somebody gets sent off/ key player gets injured / somebody is getting a right thrasing then this has yet to be priced into the odds that are available.

Going back to the topic of discussion - niche markets - one of the biggest drawbacks as mentioned earlier is that they'll only be a few bookies offering odds on these matches. Therefore the scope for price discrepencies is limited. However, this is not the case for Prem and CCC games.

Last year Bet 365 must've taken a right hammering on the non-league games because the odds became a lot tighter mid-season.

Oh, and I remember how much WAS likes the LDV and Carling cup competitions :

AMP

Last edited by A.M.P : 29-06-2005 at 14:15.
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