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Old 24-11-2006, 17:32
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Re: English Premiership 25-26th Nov

Here are my thoughts on the Premiership (and probable bets to be confirmed tomorrow).

Villa to beat Middlesbrough @ 1.825 -0.5 Asian Handicap (Bet365).

Villa have some important players coming back for this fixture. Petrov, McCann and Hughes are all returning. Steve Sutton is doubtful though.

Middlesbrough have the opposite fortune with Downing only being 50/50 and Viduka and Parnaby out still.

The form lines show a 4-2-0 home record for Villa and the opposite for Middlesbrough with a 0-2-4 record.

Bet365 offer 1.80 on the 1X2 market but as is normal offer different odds for exactly the same bet on -0.5 Asian Handicap at the slightly bigger 1.825

West Ham to beat Sheff Utd @ 1.80 (Bet365)

West Ham have won their last two at home with victories against Blackburn and Arsenal. But this isn't the reason for the bet.

The team news is pretty bad for Sheff Utd who don't have available some of their best players. Webber, Tonge, Armstrong and Sommeil are all out. I have been particularly impressed with the ex Man Utd youth player Webber when I have seen him and I think he will be a big miss. Tonge has always been a certain pick for Neil Warnock too when available isn't he?

Bolton to beat Arsenal @ 2.50 - draw no bet - (Bet365)

I fancy Bolton to beat Arsenal tomorrow due to team news mainly. Arsenal miss Henry, Van Persie, Gallas and Rosicky - about £75,000,000 worth of first team certainties. This will leave Arsenal with Walcott and Aliadiere up front - neither of which has scored this season. In fact the only player who is available for Arsenal who has scored away this term in the League is Adebayor.

Bolton welcome back Nolan to the side.

Senderos will probably step in for Gallas but I can see Bolton playing their normal game and peppering the Arsenal defence with long ball stuff. Any lack of understanding in the Arsenal defence (which is more likely with Senderos stepping in) might well get punished by the returning Nolan me thinks?

All these thoughts plus the fact that Arsenal really don't like it up them and the fact they usually struggle at Bolton make me go for the home win. However - like the screaming coward I am I have taken lesser odds on the draw no bet option offered in case Arsenal manage to get a point.
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