You speak some real crap Doc. 77 really is a fold there right on the bubble with a playable stack. Im well suprised you think thats a call on the bubble.
Quote:
|
you'll win more than he will if you call here.
|
Its not a cash game. You dont win the tournament if you win the hand.
Quote:
|
Even if I had seen that he had AK here, I'd call
|
Accepting a near 50% chance of no payout isnt exactly great tournament strategy Doc. Youd call if you know he has AK what a load of pish. Lets put our tourny life on the line knowing your in a coinflip! What great play that is!
Quote:
He has a lower pair - you're over 80% favourite
He has two higher cards - you're a 51% favourite
He has a higher and a lower card (e.g. A5) - you're over 2-1 favourite
He has a higher card plus a 6 or a seven - ditto
He has a 6 or a 7 plus a lower card (e.g. 76s) - you're over 7-1 favourite to win
He has two lower cards (v. unlikely admittedly, but far from impossible) - you're 5-1 favourite to win
|
Leaving out ALL possibility of an overpair, why?? You include the underpairs and overpairs is just as likely as that. Overpair is also more likely scenario than the bottom 2 categories. And dont start saying blah blah theres 69 different combinations of low cards etc (a pure guess at an amount I have no idea how many there are) it doesnt work like that. In all honesty, I dont think its going to be a 7 high hand moving all in on the bubble. Whats by far the most likely scenario A LOT of the time here....
Quote:
|
He has two higher cards - you're a 51% favourite
|
There it is, woopdifcukingdoo a 1% edge. Praise the lord!
Quote:
|
at the moment you're likely to be on the way out!
|
Why? 14th out of 21 stacks isnt so bad at all. Its hardly correct to say it looks like bubbling is the most likely scenario if you fold when 1/3 of the players have a smaller stack than you?
Quote:
|
There are 28 of 1225 hands that are beating you. Your hand is in the top 10% of hands heads up.
|
Youve got to take into account the situation, you sound like some kind of poker bot reeling off stats.
IT IS IN TOP 10% OF HANDS....I PUT VILLAIN ON 16% CHANCE...OF 65s OR BELOW....IF NOT I STILL MAINTAIN A 0.8% EDGE - I CALL WITH GUSTO