Like Colchester as per usual, already on them at 1.935 with
Pinnacle (AH -0.5).
That was a good price on Birmingham -1 Daik, best I saw tonight was 1.893 with
Pinnacle. I can't really see Birmingham not winning this and the enhanced odds for a more than 1 goal win are worth a go, worst I can see is stakes returned.
I would also take WBA -1 on Friday night, should certainly be able to get above 2.00 on that. Their last 5 homes have seen them go F15 A2 in winning all 5. Luton got a good point at Birmingham but that was their first point on the road after 6 straight losses. I think they will be back to losing ways Friday.
I had considered Southampton -0.75 but they seem to be sneaking wins by small margins so looking at them just for a straight win rather than the AH. Saints -0.75 would only have seen you fully collect 3 times out of 13 this season while Burnley have only fully lost on the +0.75 AH twice. I do think Burnleys current form makes them worth opposing though but it won't be on AH.
Had thoughts about Derby, Sunderland, Hull and Stoke, will do some more digging on them but they are all no bets at the moment.
Btw, RFO has done some over/under analysis this week. Notable figures for the CCC include
Stoke under 61%
Wolves under 70%
Burnley under 61%
Leicester under 63%
Colchester over 63%
Sheff Wed over 67%
Those are for combined homes and aways
Rather bizarrely Wolves are 70% unders in total this season but have yet to have a 0-0 in 27 games! 10 1 goal games, 9 2 goal games.
Sheff Wed are now 8 games since an under.
Lutons games have the highest avg goals per game, 3.0, both Coventry and Wolves avg 2.1 goals per game
Homes only
Birmingham over 62%
Colchester over 77%
Sheff Wed over 64%
Southend over 64%
Southampton under 69%
Sunderland under 69%
Wolves under 69%
Aways only
Southampton over 64%
Cardiff over 64%
Sunderland over 64%
Sheff Wed over 69%
Norwich over 64%
Luton over 69%
Wolves under 77%
Burnley under 77%
Coventry under 64%
Hull under 64%
Southend under 69%