[traeth]

Thanks for that komp here are my initial thoughts

Friday evening matches

Aberystwyth [10th] v Newtown [14th]
Port Talbot [6th] v Haverfordwest [9th]
Connah's Quay [4th]v Cefn [12th]


I do not like gambling on the Friday evening games in this league.
Too many unpredictable results for these part-timers after a working day.
They all look like home wins to me.
Port Talbot is worth considering lets hope the other bookies give us similar odds . They had a great win in the rearranged cup match Monday evening.

Saturday afternoon matches

Caersws [15th] v T N S [2nd]
One of the worse teams in the league against the best.
TNS had last week match postponed due to the weather .
They are on form now and i can see them scoring 4 or 5 in this match

Carmarthen [7th] v Airbus [16th]

This should be another home win for Carmarthen as Airbus are the worse away team in this league.
Airbus did beat Bangor 4-1 last week though.


Cwmbran [13th] v Caernarfon [17th]

Caernarfon are still struggling and need the points against a side that moved from the bottom with wins before christmas.
This is a bottom of the table clash , it looks like a battle between Caernarfon and Airbus to avoid relegation.
Caernarfon will see Cwmbran as a team where points are up for grabs.

Porthmadog [11th] v Rhyl [1st]
This will be a difficult match for my team against the table toppers.
We beat Rhyl at home last season when the league position were similar .
If we play at our best and Rhyl has a poor day we can get a win , but I will settle for a draw.
Perhaps some blustery conditions at our ground could give us some hope.
I would not hold it against you if you back Rhyl but 1.35 for an away side does not tempt me.

Welshpool [3rd] v Bangor [8th]
Welshpool are playing well , had a great win at Llanelli last Saturday.
Whilst Bangor lost 4-1 at the awful Airbus.
Bangor are a poor away side this season .
It is rumoured that Bangor recently appointed manager Bleasdale has been looking for another club ,Southport was mentioned but Peter Davenport has resigned from Colwyn Bay to take up the manager's job at Conference outfit Southport. So Colwyn Bay is being suggested now but Bleasdale is denying the stories.
This could be an unsettling factor at the club.

So Welshpool @1.85 looks very good to me .I will do a more detailed analysis later

The league table
1. Rhyl FC 19 13 3 3 45 26 42
2. The New Saints 16 13 1 2 45 11 40
3. Welshpool Town 19 12 3 4 41 26 39
4. Connah's Quay Nomads 18 10 5 3 34 26 35
5. Llanelli AFC 17 9 5 3 38 18 32
6. Port Talbot Town 18 9 3 6 26 22 30
7. Carmarthen Town 17 8 4 5 37 27 28
8. Bangor City 19 7 4 8 35 31 25
9. Haverfordwest County 20 6 6 8 34 32 24
10. Aberystwyth Town 17 6 5 6 28 24 23
11. Porthmadog FC 18 4 7 7 23 29 19
12. NEWI Cefn Druids 18 5 4 9 25 40 19
13. Cwmbran Town 19 4 6 9 26 38 18
14. Newtown AFC 18 5 2 11 19 31 17
15. Caersws FC 19 3 7 9 22 39 16
16. Airbus UK 19 2 5 12 23 50 11
17. Caernarfon Town 17 1 4 12 18 49 7