Going purely on recent form, I don't think I'd really fancy backing Forest. Only 1 win in their last 6 aways, while Carlisle are no mugs at home, 9-2-3 for the season. Carlisle also drew away to Forest 0-0 earlier in the season.
Was considering Bristol City -1, but looking at their home record this season, 9 of their 11 wins have been by just the one goal, only Gillingham

and Chesterfield have lost by 2 goals at Ashton Gate. 1.49 is too short to tempt me on the straight win, so will avoid both of tonight's games, I think.