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Old 31-01-2007, 15:42
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Dubai Desert Classic.

Tiger is on such a roll the 11/8 on offer does almost seem like value. However with Ernie in the field hopefully he won't have things all his own way. At 4/1 I reckon Ernies a good bet to nothing ie I can't see him finishing outside the top 5.

He was 2nd here last year and his record since 2002 reads 1 2 3 1 2. Thats pretty damn impressive. As well as his brilliant course record hes in great form recently and has posted 6/6 top 10 finishes since September. In his last two tournaments hes come 1st and 3rd(last week). Each Way is 1/4 the price for the top 5 so I'm gonna have a decent bet on Els as I think he can achieve a top 5 finish.

Nick Dougherty has been playing prety well in the middle east over the past couple of weeks( 11th and 16th) and he could be a decent shout for top GB + Ireland golfer @ 10/1. No Harrington this week so his main rivals will be Casey Howell McDowell and Westwoodand. As long as he beats 1 of that lot we'll be getting some E/W money.

Johan Edfors @20/1 should give me a run for my money in the top European market, he had a great season last year winning 3 tournaments and finished a creditable 13th here last year. E/W is 1/5th for top 4

Verdict:
40 Points E/W on Ernie Els @ 4/1--1/4 places 1-5
10 Points E/W on Nick Dougherty to be top GB & Ireland Player @ 10/1-- 1/4 places 1-4
5 Points E/W on Johan Edfors to be top European @ 20/1--1/5 places 1-4
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