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Old 09-03-2007, 12:41
rcgills rcgills jest offline
Spanish punter
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 8669
Re: French football 9-12 March

Wouldn't argue with any of that, Darebt, although this league throws up too many surprises in those kind of games for my liking. Good luck though.

Two for me tonight.

Istres (18th) are on a decent run at home, with just 1 defeat in their last 6, and they've won their last 2 homes, against Chateauroux and Tours. Creteil are one point and one place behind them, and with a very poor 0-4-9 away record. Creteil are without Terrier, Ribault, Sales (none have made more than 5 starts), information on Istres is difficult to find, as their website is pretty crap.

Given the lack of much team news from Istres, not one for big stakes, but I think Istres' home form should be enough to see them through this one.

Istres v Creteil @ 2.02 (minus commission) 3pts

May be slightly biased in this, as Guingamp were my team in France, but I think they could get something from their game at Caen tonight. They're on a run of 3 straight wins now, which isn't bad seeing as prior to that they'd only won 3 games out of 24 all season. They've now lost just 2 of their last 11.

Caen are set to again be without Thiam and Mazure, who also missed Monday's 3-2 win over Tours. Guingamp are without a few players again, but they have been just about all season. Suarez has missed near enough the whole season, while Eduardo will also be out, but he's missed the last few games anyway. They'll also be without Legueun.

Still, Caen are a very strong home side, the strongest in the division with 11 wins and 3 draws from their 14 games, and just 5 goals conceded.
Rather than backing Guingamp to get a result here, I think a better bet may be the overs. Maybe not particularly logical with Caen having conceded just 5 goals at home all season, and Guingamp's 14 away games producing just 22 goals altogether. However, the arrival of Meslin from Bastia has given Guingamp a real boost up front, he's scored 3 in 4 games, and even if they can't get a result here at Caen, I certainly think they stand a decent chance of scoring. Caen are the top scorers in the division with 49 goals, so obviously you'd have to fancy their chances of scoring, probably more than once, not least because Guingamp have also conceded 2 or more goals in each of their last 3 away games.

Caen v Guingamp over 2.5 goals @ 2.27 (minus commission) 3pts
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