[Beanie]

Only market up just now is the winning manager one:

Cowell - 2.20
Osbourne - 3.40
Walsh - 3.40

A lot depends on what group they get to manage(Groups, 16-24, 25+), with 16-24, 25+ and then groups the most likely to win, in that order.

Last season Walsh had the 16-24, Osbourne had the 25+ and Cowell the groups, so that combination is out of the question.

The end of the show on Saturday showed Simon with a huge grin on his face - and that can only mean that he has been given the 16-24s...he'd never have looked like that had he got the 16-24s.

That then means that Sharon will get the groups and Louis the 25+.

So the value on Simon then? Not at those prices as it looks to me like the adjustment has already happened with the Cowell price dipping from 2.60 to 2.20 recently.

However, I'd be fairly certain that the group allocation will be as above, and so it will be worth watching the prices this week and using that info(which doesn't take too much brainpower to figure out, but won't be known by the majority of punters) to get in a decent position early on.