Hi Bulit. Good to see someone else interested in tennis betting.
Wouldn't argue with any of your picks there. I don't normally like betting on very short-priced favourites, I normally prefer to pick outsiders I think are over-priced, with a view to laying them off if they get into a decent position.
I could've sworn I remembered Berdych playing and beating Nieminen a few weeks ago, but I've checked the H2H on both the ATP site and TennisInsight, and neither of them have any mention of it
According to ATP, the 2 have never played each other, according to TennisInsight they met in the 2004 Madrid Masters (Berdych won in 3 sets).
Anyway, a few bets I'm interested in for today:
Delic to beat Safin. Safin having a pretty poor season by his standards, and in his last 4 tournaments he's lost to Bolelli, Vliegen, Lopez and Mahut. He's never made it past the 3rd round of this tournament. It'll need Safin to have an off-day for this one to come in, but Delic has the potential to capitalise if he does.
Delic @ 3.6 (Sporting Odds) 2pts
Bracciali to beat Ginepri. Two players in terrible form, but I think Bracciali just has the edge and is slightly less bad than Ginepri at the moment. Ginepri also terrible on clay, 22-29 for his career, as opposed to Bracciali's marginally better 49-48. Add to that the fact that Bracciali has "home" advantage, and I'd make him marginal favourite, yet the bookies have it the other way around.
Bracciali @ 2.06 (Betfair) 2pts
Tursunov to beat Bjorkman. Bjorkman absolutely terrible on clay. 0-4 for the past 12 months, 9-35 for his career. Has only won 1 match in this tournament in 7 attempts (although to be fair he's had some tough matches - Federer, Hewitt and Safin). Tursunov leads 2-0 on H2H, on Indoor hard and Grass courts, where Bjorkman's game is stronger. If he can't beat Tursunov there, I can't see him beating him on clay.
Tursunov @ 1.285 (Sporting Odds) 4pts
Back in a minute with some outright bets