For the outright bets, I reckon the best option to find a bit of value is to avoid the quarters that Nadal and Federer are in (yes, I know, hardly rocket science really
). With that in mind, I reckon Ferrero may be worth a shot from the 3rd quarter - top seeds there are Davydenko and Robredo, I reckon Ferrero on his day is capable of beating either of those, and Caņas is also in there, I'd say he's a bigger danger than either of the 2 seeds. Murray and Safin in there as well. Still, Murray, Caņas and Robredo are all in the same 1/8 of the draw, so they'd have to fight it out among themselves before meeting (presumably) one of Ferrero, Safin (unless he loses to Delic, which he hopefully will
) or Davydenko in the quarters.
And in the 2nd quarter of the draw, I think Roddick looks a very nice price. OK, I know he's not the best on clay, but apparently the surface is quite quick here in Rome, and he made the QF last year. Gonzalez, Blake and Ferrer the other seeds from this quarter, with the likes of Gaudio and Chela as dangerous non-seeds, maybe Andreev too. Roddick was trading at 250 a couple of hours ago, and while I was faffing about that's gone, it's now 190. I'm going to try and get matched at 250 anyway, and if not I'll maybe go with Chela at around 260 instead.