
20-05-2007, 23:33
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 1314
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Re: Tennis 21st - 27th (ATP Austria, WTA Istanbul and Strasbourg)
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Everybody saving themselfs for French Open and I don't want to watch in beans who will lose or give up before French Open.
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You're intent on keeping your money in your pocket until Roland Garros aren't you ?
I'd definitely keep stakes to a minimum here as there will be certain players not giving it their all having one eye on the French Open. In the last two years only 2 seeds have even made the QF (Davydenko top seeded both years as this year). Davydenko's 4 year record is pretty astonishing WON, WON QF Final. I think the guy owes Russian mafia money or something he plays so much tennis. He will be giving it his all but his price is crazy short.
Another factor worth considering is that this is thefirst time the main Austrian event was played here (usually it is in St.Polten) so prior form is not very useful.
I think for the reasons above there might be a bit of value in a home player or one who has played qualifiers.
Melzer is the top ranked Austrian here. He made final (St.Polten) 2005 , QF last year and SF in 2004.
I also like the look of Starace. Having a very good year by his standards and came through qualifying here (although admitteddly not very impressively). In a very weak quarter - one seed Hrbaty is out already and Miryni is very poor on clay.
Montanes having a decent year too. This is the type of small tournament he usually does ok in.
Rather than punting on any of the big guns a few fun e/w punts on the three above the shout.
0.25 Units e/w Montanes 50/1
0.25 Units e/w Starace - no price up yet (take anything over 20/1)
1 Unit e/w Melzer 16/1
All above are Stan James. Only themselves and Bet 365 have prices up. Wait until tomorrow before putting money down as there might be some better prices up.
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