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Old 02-06-2007, 21:00
rcgills rcgills jest offline
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Re: French Open - 3rd Round On Selections Here

One measly little game was the difference today for me between a half point loss and a 5 pt profit Went into the 4th set of Hewitt v Nieminen needing Nieminen to win 3 games to guarantee the over 36.5 games would come in. Broken in his first service game, held his next 2, and was serving at 2-4 for the game which would've won me the bet. Wasted a couple of game points, got broken, and then went raising my hopes by getting several break points in the next game, blew them all and lost 6-2, meaning it finished with a total of 36 games Also had losses for my outright selections in Mathieu and Hantuchova. Safarova won though, and Bjorkman took three sets off Hernandez, never mind just one, so only slightly down for the day in the end.

Men
Staked: 36.6pts
Returned: 28.57pts
P/L: -8.03pts

Women
Staked: 18.9pts
Returned: 25.82pts
P/L: +6.92pts

Overall: -1.11pts

Onto tomorrow:

Mens:

Lay Federer 3-0 v Youzhny @ 1.61, liability 2pts

Federer obviously has to be favourite for this one, not least because he has a 9-0 H2H lead over Youzhny, with the Russian winning just 2 sets in those 9 matches. However, from what I saw of Youzhny's game against Ferrero, Youzhny looked pretty impressive. If Federer suffers any kind of lapse of concentration, Youzhny is well capable of taking a set off of him.

Womens:

Safarova to beat Chakvetadze @ 1.62 3pts

Chakvetadze has struck me as being pretty inconsistent whenever I've seen her lately, while Safarova looked pretty impressive today in beating Mauresmo. Only one previous meeting between them, last month in Berlin, and Safarova won in straight sets.

Not a lot else I fancy at the moment for tomorrow. The favourites I like the look of are too short-priced, and the long shots I think might stand a chance are also too short-priced for my liking. Will have another look tomorrow, may leave it for in-running though, or have a look at the handicap betting once the prices are out.
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