Quote:
Originally Posted by alexross
Yen sid- I hear what you are saying but experience has taught me a lot of lessons - one of them being that when you have 3 all ins you are looking at at least 2 pp's and maybe AK
so lets say we have aa v 3 random hands (random top 30% hands)
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 61.821% 61.73% 00.16% 3360267499 8706502.50 { AA }
Hand 1: 08.798% 08.58% 00.22% 467246708 12197982.50 { random }
Hand 2: 15.827% 15.48% 00.37% 842560467 19930944.50 { random }
Hand 3: 13.555% 13.03% 00.54% 709304159 29373881.50 { random }
fine - we are obv winning most of the time and its instacall...
however lets say we are up against for example KK JJ and 88
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.748% 53.68% 00.07% 755471772 1014768.00 { AA }
Hand 1: 17.795% 17.72% 00.07% 249449868 1014768.00 { KK }
Hand 2: 15.006% 14.93% 00.07% 210187224 1014768.00 { JJ }
Hand 3: 13.451% 13.38% 00.07% 188298432 1014768.00 { 88 }
so we are winning just over 50% of the time.
I aint coinflipping on the bubble after 3hrs work in a deep well paid mtt ! lol.
you can't rely on maths all the time! I am waiting for a better spot.
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Can't agree with folding AA preflop at all. Certain satellite situations yes, I'm sure I remember Jez showing a cash game situation where it made sense too(tho I might be wrong), otherwise no.
The fact it was the bubble and the fact you would have lost are immaterial, the bottom line is that if you put your money in there you win more money in the long run.
Bingo. You could be waiting a hell of a long time for a better spot than being over 50% likely to quadruple up/or double/treble up and knock people out.