Quote:
Originally Posted by Pie-chucker
Was keen on SA running it close last week, but the trip to Christchurch for these B Boks is a bridge way too far. Despite all the modern physio, diet and recovery techniques, a week between Tests that includes travel still seems to take the edge of a side. eg NZ in Melbourne two weeks ago.
Kiwis (Dan Carter?) haven't really clicked this winter, but I think they will here. There's 10/11 available at a handicap of 23, but I'm going the greedy route to get odds against on a handicap of 24.5 with Centrebet.
NZ -24.5 @ 11/10 at 40pts
Kiwi romp and, at last, handicap overs is the call for me.
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Pie-chucker, what do you make of a NZ -32.5 line?
Ladbrokes offering 3.25 for that one which I'm still trying to tempt myself to back...
I've been thinking about this one over the last couple of hours. While I fancy the AB's to clear the handicap as much, my experience with them suggests they very often clear the spread line by quite a fair bit (when they do clear, that is!) especially in the wake of their Aussie debacle the last time out...