Dundalk a 3-0 WINNER for me, which helps since all my theorizing of last night has completely tanked. Sarajevo won 2-1 at Genk, Elfsborg won 1-0 at Debrecen.
Take a moment to recall that in the past three years, teams in this situation had 0 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. Today they took 2 wins, along with some of my money. Makes me want to puke. Really.
Quick look at the three games that fell into my previous theory (dogs of +1 or more at even money or better:
Pyunik +1 +105...LOST 0-2
Zeta +2 +107..."Pushing" 0-2, 80TH MINUTE
By the time this last game kicked off, Zeta was +2.5 for -150, which would not have been a play.
The other dogs, juiced and so no play:
Beitar Jerusalam +1, -122, PUSH 0-1
Sarajevo +1.5, -143, WIN 2-1
Hmm.
OK, so where do we go from here? Tomorrow's games have no plays in the Big Dog model; there's a +1 and a +2 for -190 or something. In today's crappy theory, Besiktas is -2, +118, which I wouldn't take, and Red Star Belgrade over Levadia Talinn, which Greek isn't offering a line for.
I'm going to take a look at Thursday's
UEFA Cup games...Greek won't post a line on those until late tomorrow probably.