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Old 04-08-2007, 15:58
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Re: 2 Dire Folds Against Same Opponent. Help Please!!!!

Hand:1

I really don't like the check on the flop. It's difficult to determine how your opponent feels about that check, is he considering that you may be slow playing a monster or is he thinking you're weak on the flop?

What hands can he have called with that have you beat on the turn? I'm thinking 4's are a possibility or he may have hit trip 5's calling with suited connectors. I'll rule out a donkish call with K5.

He puts a small feeler out on the turn, which we're having trouble interpreting, if you'd asked asked a question of him on the flop we may know better where he is. You raise which is the correct play and he comes over either thinking you're bluffing or he has a good hand.

From his point of view he's got to know you're holding AK a high% of the time here, or even KK or AA sometimes. If he is a decent player and he is bluffing at you he's relying on you folding these hands here, not an easy fold. How tight have you been?

Can an arguement be made for just calling the turn? You have position on the river and if you've called him on the turn is he really going to try and push you off your premium hands on the river? Considering his range is the river likely to improve a bluff into a hand that's beating you? Is he raising with the straight draw? The call on the turn might give a better idea of where you are.

Ok, so I'd call this bet but I'd love someone to explain to me why that's not a smart move, Raisin?
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