Quote:
Originally Posted by Dodger777
I'm quite tempted with the Over in the Basel v Mattersburg game tonight...both teams come from usually high scoring leagues which are on a similar-ish level ..also the Helsinki v Aalborg game is tempting for an Over to ...Still pondering though  |
The line on Helsinki is tempting, I agree, but Aalborg has a pretty good defense...their only big meltdown, in the 0-5 game a couple weeks ago, came after a 1st-minute red card. They play most games tight, conceding 1 usually. Add to this Helsinki a) has played very defensive so far in Cup, and b) comes from a poorer Finnish league, and I'd think this one has a chance to end 1-0 to the visitors. Just my opinion, who knows it could end 2-2, but for me there is too much of a chance for a low-scoring game to take it.
I thought the same about Basel, my book's line is O 3, +120. Mattersburg is an overs banker so far in Austria, because they score and concede, 2-1 and 2-2 and 3-2 very normal. Basel a little early to tell, but they had a good defense last season, were as likely to win 2-0 as 3-0, and often they had to get to 3 on their own. Given that I need 4 goals to win this one, I'll probably stay off it.