Hot the f*** can I remove the tags?
So, Litex - Levski will be a game between teams that would like to win, but will desperately want not to lose.
In the first round Litex drew 1:1 at home with the other big favourite CSKA and after that lost surprisingly against Vihren Sandanski.
Levski won away against the same Vihren in the first round and beat Beroe at home, both games 1:0. Levski is still in the shock of dropping off Champion's league in the 2nd round against Tampere. The players find it hard to get motivated, but that game could turn their season over.
Litex are doing really well in Europe, but have big ambititons in the domestic competitions also.
Mathes in Lovech tend to be very tight, here is some h2h:
Bulgarian 1st league 2006/2007
Levski Sofia Lovech Liteks 6:2 27.05.2007
Lovech Liteks Levski Sofia 0:0 26.11.2006
Bulgarian 1st league 2005/2006
Levski Sofia Lovech Liteks 1:1 27.05.2006
Lovech Liteks Levski Sofia 1:0 09.12.2005
Bulgarian 1st league 2004/2005
Levski Sofia Lovech Liteks 0:1 12.03.2005
Lovech Liteks Levski Sofia 0:1 22.08.2004
Bulgarian 1st league 2003/2004
Levski Sofia Lovech Liteks 1:1 07.03.2004
Lovech Liteks Levski Sofia 0:0 31.08.2003
Bulgarian 1st league 2002/2003
Levski Sofia Lovech Liteks 3:0 06.04.2003
Lovech Liteks Levski Sofia 3:0 22.09.2002
Bulgarian local bookie offers 2.45 2.80 2.35 for that game (don't laugh).
So, some might say the value goes with Litex. Yes 3.48 for home win offered by
10bet is quite big, but I wouldn't bother myself with 1-X-2 betting for that game. In fact I expect draw here.
Under 2.5 is the most likely bet and 1.72 from
10bet is good price, but I'm staying away from that market.
So maybe I'll settle with Litex +0.25, small bet but it will be hard for Levski in Lovech.