[pelatis]

Anand is a good pick and the bookies know that!

Kramnik is too overrated in my opinion
Leko is the man that I wouldn't expect to win against Gurevich. Yet he won 3.5-0.5! He isn't a player that could get results with black though, he will finish the tournament with 7points 1 loss from Anand, 1 win against Grischuk and 12 draws :P
Morozevich could surprise everyone around he could finish last, he could be 2nd, but I don't think that he will be first.
Aronian can't beat Anand. He could just get 2 draws against him and hope to get points from other players.
Gelfand is a very hard nut to crack. Whoever beats him twice will end first place. But I can't see anyone to do that.
The other players are the points of the tournament.

Keep in mind that this is a tournament that everyone with 14 rounds.