Stuttgart
Safina-Srebotnik
I don’t usually get on the other (Wrong
) side of big price movements but I’m going to do it here with Safina against Srebotnik in Stuttgart – she has drifted out to 1.79 from an opening price around 1.65 prompted by injury concerns over her wrist – she withdrew from the event in Calcutta to continue with her recovery and this is a first start since Flusing Meadows. She has a moderate US hardcourt season with some disappointing losses. She faces a player who made the final in Slovenia (albeit not beating anyone in particularly in good form en route) but for a player with a very thin mental crust she holds one particularly useful card in a very dominant 6-1 h to h over Srebotnik (2 from 2 indoors). Safina is a confidence player and this will be a major plus for her. Almost as important is I feel that her big power game is more suited to the fast surfaces – she is W33 L13 on the surface which is a far better record than Srebotnik – their last meeting on clay saw Safina go off around 1.35 – the 1.79 looks massive. The injury is a concern but I’m willing to chance her with reduced stakes.
1.50 Units Safina @ 1.79