[Wittmann 44]

Not a good day yesterday with all 3 selections losing – memo to self to stop opposing Wawrinka. Still in profit so I should probably give things a rest but nothing ventured nothing gained.


Karlovic-Johansson

Big Ivo has been in aweseome serving form while ToJo’s stats have steadily slipped. He is a better all round player, has an aweseome record here (2 wins from 3 finals) and has only lost 2 of his 9 career finals. Ivo has been winning matches where there has been literally a single break of serve and its hard to see this being too much diefferent. They have met 4 times before (2 apiece) and 3 of the 4 have gone over 2 sets. Tie breaks look a given here – Ivo has had 75 in 73 games this year and ToJo has had 34 from 54. A more interesting stat is that Karlovic has had 32 games from the 75 where the first set has ended in a tb but the price on Gamebookers has been slashed.In a game which looks like it will be decided on points you can get long of total games (Bet 365) or go first a first set correct score bet or total sets (6/5 Gamebookers). I’m plumping for total games as with a single tb might be enough even with a 2 setter but no one is offering yet

1.25 Unit Games > 21.5(To Confirm)
If not 3 sets @ 6/5 with Gamebookers

Wawrinka-Djokovic

Going to side what Imo is the value play with Wawrinka who has knocked out some decent opposition en route and who has raised his game significantly this week. Djoko will probably be too solid and draw the errors from the Swiss if he is his usual solid self defensively but he has surprised me (again) all week so fingers crossed.

0.50 Units Wawrinka @ 4..5
0.25 Units Djokovic 2-1 @ 4.3