Quote:
Originally Posted by trickrick
The problem with John, is he is now in a difficult position..If he passses he becomes immune and therefore just a great big boring git..
Somehow you can see him getting more support if he fails and is up for eviction everytime..
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On reflection you are right. If he passes, his odds won't fall much below 3s as he will have no purpose and no sympathy (resentment if anything) for the next x amount of weeks, and so is unlikely to develop much more until the final, and so wouldn't be the fav by then...certainly not ever gonna go odds on or anything.
If he fails, he will get more support, no doubt, but being up every week will push his price straight out to 8s or 10s. He will get more support that way but its still a huge ask to win if up every week. Don't know many contestants that could do that.
So it's either an immediate downside, or an upside that really isn't much of an upside at all, as he'll peak and then probably begin a big drift for the next month or so.
So, layed stake back @ 5(odds shifting back out already) to start with a green on John.
Just getting ready for a big lay if he passes - you ready for that one trick?