Quote:
Originally Posted by Wittmann 44
I'd say in the main markets there is absolutely none 99% of the time. In the wild and woolier markets there might be a small edge from time to time but as I said at the start my gut feeling is that almost no-one is making any money betting in the big leagues.
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But surely someone has to be making money on them Wittmann, otherwise everyone would be breaking even? Are we just talking punters here ie
Betfair punters, punters who bet at normal bookies? Surely there are some folk out there who are making money because if there are losers then there has to be winners?
I have a site that I reference most weekends which has had 382 bets in the EPL to the end of the year and have a yield over all these bets of 15%. I haven't followed every single bet but I do follow a fair few and I would say I am in profit from following their selections.
Note I am not claiming these as my own picks so therefore can't say I am making money out of backing these leagues of my own back/opinion, but, to paraphrase, I know a site who can
They are also up 16% on CL games and 17% on international fixtures. Thats pretty good going in any circumstances but especially so IMO on a league with as heavy coverage as the EPL. Their picks are all stat/trend based as well, very rarely referring to team news.
I do think it comes back to is your opinion better than others. If you think that practically everyone is working off the the same info, stats and trends then it does come down to opinions and judgement.