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Old 03-02-2008, 04:47
fasteddy fasteddy jest offline
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Dubai Classic: Final Round

Just looking at the odds on offer here as well and the player that stands out at a decent price is Lee Westwood @ 12.5

He's been ultra consistent over his last 6 tournaments: 5/T2/T2/3/61/1

great form there, especially the Middle East swing part , with a T2 and last week's 5th place behind Adam Scott.

He's playing the back 9 strongly so even with a slowish start we can expect him to come with a late rattle.
Three shots behind Els, 1 shot ahead of Woods....that's why the price is so high...Woods still in with a shout.

I feel this is a falsely weighted book regards Westwood and so has to be taken on.

Westwood is paired with McDoweel , which I think will help them both, while Woods is 3 pairings behind, thus giving Westwood time to respond to any move by him. He'll have Els in his sights as well....so overall there's is a lot to like about him putting pressure on those around if he can keep his from today....and no reason, or recent evidence , to suggest he wont.


Also...
Kaymer @ 50.00...massive prive to 'back to lay'.....won 2 weeks ago in Abu Dhabi with a wire to wire win. The usual 'bad bounce' after a win hit him last week with a T98th, but he's got back on track here. Brilliant prospect for the future Tour.

Finally....David Frost @ 830.00..back to lay front 90

This is a great fun bet to 'back and lay' over the front 9. He's the type of guy who is more than capable of running up a sucession of birdies as he showed yesterday with birdie/birdie/birdie
...and in the 2nd rnd with par/eagle/birdie.....

making him -7 for the opening 3 holes....so if he can get to at least -8 by the time he walks off the 3rd you can be sure he'll be a lot less than 830!!...it doesnt need a lot to get involved with this, and it has chances of being decent.
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