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Old 09-04-2008, 23:37
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Join Date: Jun 2005
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Re: US MASTERS : 10-13th April

Top Debutant is an interesting market. 20 players debut this Masters so thats your field to pick from. As (obviously) none have played the Masters before and many have hardly played in majors before or even are attending their first, its somewhat of an unknown quantity. I wouldnt back anyone in single figure odds so that ruled the market leader Andres Romero out. I looked for some key components that I thought would serve up a potential market winner.

- A player that had good experience on the PGA tour
- A player with a previous top 10 American major finish

This narrowed the field of 20 down to a group of 3, John Senden (12/1), Boo Weekley (12/1) and Bubba Watson (16/1).

I dont rate Bubba Watson whatsoever and I think his 5th place at last years US Open was a bit of a flash in the pan if im honest. His results are poor this year so far so im not betting him.

Boo Weekley played the last 3 majors of 2007 and did very respectably culminating in a 9th place finish at the PGA Champs. Hes also in good form this year so far without being spectacular.

John Senden has a ton of experience on the PGA tour being well into his 30s and made a major breakthrough by finishing last years last major PGA champs in 4th. Turned himself from a journeyman into a top 50 player the last couple of years and hes on very good form this year featuring a 2nd place finish.

Overall I decided aussie John Senden was the man to go for at 12/1. Hes had the highest finish in a major of all debutants, the most experience on the PGA tour of all of them and is importantly in good form, he certainly ticks all the boxes. I think Boo Weekley is more good to land the e/w than the win in the market, I dont really fancy him to really push on for a top placing (the e/w pays 1/5 odds for top 4 debutants btw).
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