Well after two listens to each song in the first semi final and after a visit to casualty for bleeding ears my thoughts are...
Russia to win the semi final..various reasons, decentish song, Eastern block scared of big brother so will vote for them and probably a polished performance to boot from the dude.
Greece to Qualify and maybe worth a punt on a top 3 in the semi bet too....total JLO rip off which is not a bad thing... best ass of the bunch too.
Andorra to Qualify decentish odds for qualifying this and very good odds for a top 3 in the semi ..yes its been done a million times, the old boom bang a bang tune but she's a babe so I'm giving her a go...hell, if only she would let me
Armenia to Qualify as mentioned by Beanie it is a bit repetitive but if she wears her tight fitting leather trousers then she must be worth a few thousand extra votes
Outsider which I have a sneakish liking for
Slovenia to qualify