You and your fancy stats, crowie. Ayr gave them a wee fright and they did struggle to see off Stirling and Dumbarton (well, they never put their chances away) and also found it hard against Partick. 10/1 for a rather decent Raith side seems amazing to me and I've bunged a tenner on although I concede it'll obviously be difficult for Raith. I reckon it'll be a hard one for Gretna too though.