Getting back to the actual game itself, I am going for a wee lay of Inter tonight.
Cagliari have been pretty impressive since coming up from Serie B last season. Well impressive in the fact that they have been bloody heard to beat at home. 1 defeat all season, to Milan, back in the middle of October.
Where they have slipped is that the home wins have turned into draws of late. Last 4 homes have been draws (2 x 1-1, 2 x 0-0). They haven't been helped by some injuries to their strikers, Suazo is still out tonight but I believe Zola should play.
They have also won all 3 home games in the Coppa, v Triestina, Lazio and Sampdoria.
Inter have a near identical away record in Serie A to Cagliari's home form. Only 1 defeat away, surprisingly at Messina, on 24th April.
This game finished 3-3 in November at Cagliaris ground.
I think that Inter have to be favourites to qualify for the final as Cagliari away are poor, joint 2nd worst away record in Serie A this season. However I think they could be happy with a draw tonight knowing they should finish the job in the San Siro.
Given Cagliaris home strength and the fact its a two legged tie I will have a small lay of Inter tonight.
Lay Inter at 2.16 on Betfair, risking 4.64pts to win 4pts