My downfall in my betting on this league have been the following factors:
i) lost money on TNS early in the season and avoided their next few games
ii) overestimated Rhyl , so lost money on them
iii) overestimated Caernarfon ability to win at home on their awkward pitch
iv) underestimated my home side Porthmadog in their recent good run
v) do not really know the teams from the South of Wales
I hope these shortcoming do not cloud my recommendations for this weekend matches
Llanelli [9]v T N S [1]
This match has been covered in a previous post but must post this from the Welsh Premier League site
Quote:
The Reds host leaders TNS at Stebonheath Park on Saturday before a festive double-header against second placed Port Talbot Town.
"These are three vital matches for us," said Nicholas.
"We were disappointed with last week's 3-2 defeat at Welshpool Town. To be 2-0 up, miss a penalty and lose was a big blow.
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no bet for me
Aberystwyth [12] v Airbus [14]
Aber have the best manager in the league and he should be getting them to win consistantly .Airbus played porly in the last few weeks , their performance against my home side Porthmadog was not very good .
A match preview from the Flintshire Chronicle - bias towards Airbus
HERE
Aberystwyth @1.83 home win 6/10
Caernarfon [16]v Port Talbot[3]
Many of the regular readers of this thread will relise that I have a soft spot for Caernarfon at home , this season they have let me down . Port Talbot have surprised many people this season , they started the season with low scoring draws before the found thier scoring touch and flew up the table to second place.Last week Caernarfon lost 2-1 to TNS , good result considering relative positions of the teams. P.T. came back from 0-2 down to win 3-2 against 5th placed Newtown. My brain says Port Talbot who are evens with
bet365, my heart says Caernarfon.
small stake
Caernarfon home win @3.20 1/10
Cefn Druids [18]v Cwmbran[13]
Cefn form has been very poor and are now bottom of the table and would be opposed usually , but because of Cwmbran's financial problems they have lost many player and have had to depend on their under 21 squad to strengthen their team [ they have a good U21 side]
more of Cwmbran's details
HERE from Welsh Premier League site
NO BET