Welsh Premier League Oct 12th/13th/14th

[traeth]

this weekend odds from bet365

Friday
12 Oct 19:30 Haverfordwest v Neath 1.72 3.50 4.00
12 Oct 19:30 Newi Cefn Druids v Connah's Quay 2.37 3.40 2.60

Saturday
13 Oct 14:30 Aberystwyth v Porthmadog 1.57 3.60 5.00
13 Oct 14:30 Airbus UK v Llangefni Town 1.61 3.50 4.50
13 Oct 14:30 Caersws v Port Talbot 3.20 3.40 2.00
13 Oct 14:30 Llanelli v Bangor City 1.36 4.00 7.00
13 Oct 14:30 Newtown v Caernarfon 2.37 3.40 2.60
13 Oct 14:30 Welshpool Town v Carmarthen 2.20 3.40 2.80

Sunday
14 Oct 14:30 T.N.S. v Rhyl 2.00 3.25 3.40



Can only see one away win in these fixture , perhaps a couple of draws .
These matches require futher investigation:
Haverfordwest [6th] v Neath [13th]
Haverfordwest's record this season W4 D1 L3
Neath's record this season W3 D0 L5

Aberystwyth [9th] v Porthmadog [16th]
Aber's record this season W3 D2 L3
Port's record this season W1 D0 L7

Airbus [11th] v Llangefni [17th]
Airbus' record this season W3 D2 L3
Llangefni's record this season W1 D0 L7

Caersws [last] v Port Talbot [8th]
Caersws' record this season W0 D3 L5
Port Talbot's record this season W3 D2 L3

Llanelli [1st] v Bangor [15th]
Llanelli record this season W7 D1 L0
Bangor's record this season W2 D2 L4

1. Llanelli AFC 8 7 1 0 19 6 22
2. Rhyl FC 8 6 1 1 13 6 19
3. The New Saints 8 6 0 2 18 9 18
4. Carmarthen Town 8 5 1 2 11 8 16
5. Welshpool Town 8 4 2 2 14 12 14
6. Haverfordwest County 8 4 1 3 14 10 13
7. Connah's Quay Nomads 8 3 3 2 13 15 12
8. Port Talbot Town 8 3 2 3 16 11 11
9. Aberystwyth Town 8 3 2 3 13 10 11
10. Caernarfon Town 8 3 2 3 14 12 11
11. Airbus UK Broughton 8 3 2 3 8 7 11
12. Newtown AFC 8 3 2 3 14 14 11
13. Neath Athletic 8 3 0 5 7 11 9
14. NEWI Cefn Druids 8 3 0 5 9 15 9
15. Bangor City 8 2 2 4 12 11 8
16. Porthmadog FC 8 1 0 7 7 16 3
17. Llangefni Town 8 1 0 7 6 20 3
18. Caersws FC 8 0 3 5 5 20 3

[traeth]

Latest news about my club Porthmadog from http://www.welsh-premier.com/news.php?ID=5910

BLACKMORE SACKED AS PORT BOSS

FORMER Manchester United star Clayton Blackmore has been sacked after just four months at the Porthmadog helm.
Chairman Phil Jones, who has masterminded considerable off-field improvements at The Traeth, said action had to be taken "sooner rather than later" after a disastrous start to the campaign, which has yielded only three points from the first eight Welsh Premier games.

Viv Williams finds himself back in temporary charge of Porthmadog, only a few months after deciding to leave the club.

Port are playing a league cup match tomorrow night at Llangefni , not sure what type of team will travel there , I was talking To Ceri Roberts [ reserve team striker who scored two last time in the cup ] at lunchtime today and he was not in the squad to travel then , perhaps tomorrow he will be! I will let you know if there is any news from him.

[traeth]

WELSH PREMIER LEAGUE

Not feeling confident for any bets this weekend , I gave last night a miss thankfully as I fancied Haverfordwest.

Fri
Haverfordwest 1-2 Neath Athletic
Cefn Druids 5-2 Connah's Quay Nomads

I can only find reasoning for not having a bet today

Aberystwyth v Porthmadog
My team Port have a caretaker manager , the new player that Blackmore signed have left with him , Port have numerous injuries . This should be a home win but at those odds against the new manager syndrome [ someone posted on tdp that there is no truth in it] ...an avoid for me

Airbus v Llangefni
Should be a home win , but Llangefni have had good results in the cups and are due one in the league ... another no bet

Caersws v Port Talbot
Caersws bottom of the league , but have drawn their last three games 1-1 against decent sides.
Port Talbot a decent side at home but have lost all 3 away matches.
Port Talbot have more quality than Caersws but this year's stats tell me to avoid this one.

Llanelli v Bangor
Llanelli league leaders should win this one , odds too low.

Newtown v Caernarfon
Newtown playing better at home this season, they have already won more home games [3 vs 2] than last season.
Caernarfon have some players coming back from suspension and injuries but still miss their strikers.
This could be a home win.

Welshpool v Carmarthen
This is only Welshpool's third home game.They won one and lost the other to my club Porthmadog only points. Last season Welshpool were very difficult to beat at home, they only lost twice at home.
Carmarthen lost their first away game but since then they have won their other four away games.
Looks like a draw to me but another no bet

Sunday

TNS v Rhyl
3rd v 2nd and will be a close match , as recent encounters have been.
Rhyl v The New Saints 0:0 31-03-2007
The New Saints v Rhyl 2:0 19-11-2006
The New Saints v Rhyl 1:0 26-03-2006
Rhyl v The New Saints 0:0 18-11-2005

If I can find an unders bet I may go with that.

Sorry for the lack of recommendations on this Welsh thread.

My money this weekend is on France to beat England in the semi-final of the rugby world cup.

[traeth]

today's scores

15:30 FT Aberystwyth 2-1 Porthmadog (0-1)
15:30 FT Airbus UK Broughton 1-3 Llangefni Town (0-0)
15:30 FT Caersws 1-4 Port Talbot (0-1)
15:30 FT Llanelli AFC 0-2 Bangor City (0-0)
15:30 FT Newtown 3-1 Caernarfon Town • (1-1)
15:30 FT Welshpool Town 2-2 Carmarthen (1-2)

[kompressaur]

at the france bet Traeth. You should have doubled them with Ukraine mate

I was just in to look at the TNS game. Looks tight to traeth. Amnyone else follow the Welsh soccer think a bit differantly and fancies something to win us all some money?

[kompressaur]

Lets have a look at what markets the bookmakers offer on Welsh football

10bet
1,2,x
Asian Handicap
Over/Under goals

BGBet
1,2,x
Correct Score
ht/ft

Betson (well rated scandinavian sportsbook/betting exchange)
1,2,X
Draw No Bet
Double Chance

bah ive too much to do this morning and just done an 18 hour shift at work. I'll do this more completely when we get our new frontpage up and running. Other bookmakers offering odds on this game that TDP recommends are-

Bet365
BetUK
Betsafe
Betway
Bluesquare
Boylesports
Bwin
Coral
Expekt
Sportingbet

[traeth]

been to betexplorere and found that 3 bookies offer over/unders

Bookmakers: Total Under Over
Pinnacle Sports 2.75 1.89 2.03
Admiral 2.5 1.95 1.60
Globet 2.5 2.13 1.55

TNS' results this season
Carmarthen Town The New Saints 0:3 Sat 29-09-2007
The New Saints Connahs Quay Nomads 3:1 Sat 22-09-2007
Porthmadog The New Saints 0:1 Tue 18-09-2007
The New Saints Port Talbot Town 2:1 Sat 15-09-2007
Bangor City The New Saints 1:2 Fri 07-09-2007
The New Saints Caersws FC 6:0 Sat 01-09-2007
Aberystwyth Town The New Saints 5:1 Sun 26-08-2007
Newi Cefn Druids The New Saints 1:0 Fri 17-08-2007

Rhyl's results
Rhyl Airbus UK 2:1 Fri 28-09-2007
Haverfordwest County Rhyl 1:1 Sat 22-09-2007
Rhyl Newtown AFC 2:1 Tue 18-09-2007
Caernarfon Town Rhyl 0:1 Sat 15-09-2007
Rhyl Neath Athletic 1:0 Sun 09-09-2007
Llangefni Town Rhyl 0:3 Sat 01-09-2007
Rhyl Llanelli AFC 1:2 Sat 25-08-2007
Rhyl Carmarthen Town 2:1 Sat 18-08-2007


TNS have got over that blip at the start of the season , they played my team Port and were lucky to get three points with a last minute goal. TNS are not as good as last season.
Rhyl are 2nd in the league , but their results have been close apart from the 3-0 win at newly promoted Llangefni.