English Premiership 22-23 October

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  #46 (permalink)  
Old 22-10-2005, 00:05
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Not too much on Chelsea, 1.44's Betfair and 1.4's doing the rounds elsewhere seems like easy money but too easy , almost like there giving it away, tempted but does anybody else get the feeling its sort of being put on a plate so much so that the bookies are expecting a windfall?

Fair enough its away from home but to quote Komp from the beginning of the season "Chelsea do not lose"! and i'm beginning to agree , i'm tempted to bet large but something inside is telling me not to.
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Old 22-10-2005, 00:08
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Id price Chelsea 1.25 tops, so the price does have value. Although as ive already stated I believe the true value is in the correct scores
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Old 22-10-2005, 00:10
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Quote:
Originally Posted by slick
Fair enough its away from home but to quote Komp from the beginning of the season "Chelsea do not lose"! and i'm beginning to agree , i'm tempted to bet large but something inside is telling me not to.

I was looking earlier Slick, something that might be of interest to you.

Over the past 2 seasons I think Chelsea have had 27 away wins, as opposed to 26 home wins. Also, in these 2 seasons, Chelsea both times won 9/10 games away from home against the teams that finished in the bottom half of the league.

Statistically based on that, 1.40-1.44 is a very good bet
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Old 22-10-2005, 00:57
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Aye but based on this season its terrific value , too good to be true, like i was saying its like free money and its like somethings amiss.
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Old 22-10-2005, 01:14
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Sometimes the obvious bets are the best ones. I often look for things that aren't there. Sometimes the bets almost decide themselves and you just have to go with it.

I read something a while back that said often your first hunch/feeling is the one to go with. Over-analysing can be bad.

That said, I'm not sure if Chelsea will win or not Look at it this way though, if this was at Stamford Bridge, they'd be 1/6 probably and shorter in places. This despite them winning more games away than at home and having a terrific away record to the poorer teams. I don't think it matters much if they are home or away, so backing Chelsea in every away game this season at best price would yield a profit I'm sure
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Old 22-10-2005, 06:55
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Villa v Wigan

Barry will drop to left back and Berger will slot in left side mid, a huge loss in creativity imo, as Barry is one of my fav players, and Berger is a highlights player(does 3-4 things a game, missing for the rest)

Bouma and Samuel are big losses, will be interesting and 4.2 for wigan was good value to me
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Old 22-10-2005, 08:04
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Man Utd v Spurs

I've had the night to reflect on this and I still can't see why Spurs are such a big price. I'm going to be on the away side here for a small stake as I thinks it's cracking value. (See comments above from me and Slick).
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Old 22-10-2005, 09:20
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Aye i'm on too Gets, fingers crossed as Spurs will never get a better chance.
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Old 22-10-2005, 11:53
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

True say Slick,

Ive taken spurs:

Spurs @ 6.0 small stakes
Spurs +0.5 @ 2.23 small-medium stakes (just in case of draw)

as i feel spurs can at least get a draw today!

GL all today
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Old 22-10-2005, 12:11
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Listening to Blackburn/Birmingham on Radio 5 as I post

commentator - "if theres been a worse 21 minutes in the premiership this season I havent seen it"
summariser - "I dont know what to say to be honest"
Alan Green - "its a humdinger. This is terrible, truly awful, in fact pathetic"

:loon
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Old 22-10-2005, 16:03
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Wigan won 2-0, good punt at the readily available odds of 4+/1

Got spurs at 2.5 for X2, never bet on liverpool guys, ive given up
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Old 22-10-2005, 16:52
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

I've given up on Liverpool ages ago bazh
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Old 22-10-2005, 17:34
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Well done to those on Wigan .....bastards
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Old 22-10-2005, 17:52
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

I am one of the crazy bastards!

Wigan(+0.5) @1.95(StanJames) for 4/10
Wigan @4.25(Expekt) for 3/10

:drums and some more till :
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Old 22-10-2005, 18:14
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Re: English Premiership 22-23 October

Forgive my boast but I need all the cheer I can get b4 we get spanked by Chelsea tomorrow

Quote:
I dont see Pompey causing Charlton much trouble and I can see Charlton getting a few chances. Id expect a 1-0, 1-1, 2-1 type scoreline. I certainly dont see what justifies Pompey being judged as very slight favourites for this encounter on bet365s handicap.
Charlton 2-1

SO Charlton and Wigan both win away again, amazing stuff :loon
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