Welsh Premier League Jan 7th

[traeth]

I am off to Amsterdam on Friday to celebrate a mate's 40th birthday so my last post on this weekend matches will be Thursday evening.

The betting from bet365
7 Jan-14:00 Bangor City v Llanelli 2.25 3.40 2.60
7 Jan-14:30 Aberystwyth v Newi Cefn Druids 1.53 3.40 5.50
7 Jan-14:30 Caersws v Caernarfon 1.66 3.40 4.33
7 Jan-14:30 Carmarthen v Newtown 2.10 3.20 3.00
7 Jan-14:30 Connah's Quay v Haverfordwest 2.75 3.25 2.20
7 Jan-14:30 Cwmbran v Rhyl 4.33 3.40 1.66
7 Jan-14:30 Grange Quins v Airbus UK 2.75 3.25 2.20
7 Jan-14:30 T.N.S. v Porthmadog 1.12 6.50 12.00
7 Jan-14:30 Welshpool Town v Port Talbot 2.00 3.20 3.20

We have now reached the half way point in the season and these are the return matches of the opening weekend.

These are the results from those matches

Aug 27th 2005
Cefn Druids 2-2 Aberystwyth
Llanelli 5-0 Bangor
Caernarfon 6-0 Caersws
Newtown 2-1 Carmarthen
Haverfordwest 2-0 Connah's Quay
Porthmadog 2-2 TNS
Port Talbot 1-1 Welshpool
Airbus 3-0 Grange Quins

Sep 10th 2005
Rhyl 1-2- Cwmbran Town [ Rhyl did not play on the opening day due to their effort in Europe ]

[traeth]

The League table

1. Total Network Solutions 17 13 4 0 47 7 43
2. Rhyl FC 18 9 4 5 31 20 31
3. Port Talbot Town 17 8 6 3 26 14 30
4. Welshpool Town 17 8 4 5 37 30 28
5. Llanelli AFC 15 9 0 6 27 15 27
6. Bangor City 17 8 2 7 30 26 26
7. Haverfordwest County 17 6 7 4 23 21 25
8. Caersws FC 17 6 7 4 25 29 25
9. Carmarthen Town 15 7 3 5 28 19 24
10. Newtown AFC 18 7 1 10 27 30 22
11. Aberystwyth Town 17 5 6 6 28 30 21
12. Airbus UK 17 5 4 8 20 34 19
13. Porthmadog FC 15 4 6 5 25 26 18
14. Cwmbran Town 14 4 3 7 17 30 15
15. Connah's Quay Nomads 17 4 2 11 17 26 14
16. Cardiff Grange Quins 15 4 1 10 13 50 13
17. Caernarfon Town 15 2 6 7 19 21 12
18. NEWI Cefn Druids 16 1 8 7 17 29 11


Current form table
Pos Team Pld W D L F A +/- Pts
1. TNS 6 4 2 0 10 3 +7 14
2. Rhyl 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13
3. Caersws 6 3 3 0 10 2 +8 12
4. Connah's Quay 6 4 0 2 11 5 +6 12
5. Llanelli 6 4 0 2 10 6 +4 12
6. Port Talbot 6 4 0 2 9 7 +2 12
7. Aberystwyth 6 3 2 1 12 6 +6 11
8. Carmarthen 6 3 1 2 16 7 +9 10
9. Bangor 6 3 1 2 9 7 +2 10
10. Haverfordwest 6 3 1 2 8 8 0 10
11. Porthmadog 6 3 0 3 11 10 +1 9
12. Welshpool 6 2 1 3 8 9 -1 7
13. Cwmbran 6 1 3 2 7 12 -5 6
14. Airbus 6 1 2 3 7 13 -6 5
15. Cefn Druids 6 0 3 3 4 7 -3 3
16. Newtown 6 1 0 5 5 12 -7 3
17. Grange Quins 6 1 0 5 3 23 -20 3
18. Caernarfon 6 0 2 4 3 7 -4 2

[traeth]

I think that bet365 got the prices right for most of these games.

A very brief initial impression

Connah's Quay [15th]v Haverfordwest [7th]@2.20
Haverfordwest have had some good results against the better clubs but have tripped up against the lower clubs ,I cannot see that happening here
Cwmbran [14th]v Rhyl [2nd]@1.66
Rhyl are a much better side than Cwmbran , Rhyl have been more consistant lately.
T.N.S. [1st]v Porthmadog [13th]1.12 6.50 12.00
I saw the draw first game of the season, it was TNS first competitive game since losing to Liverpool in the Champion League qualifier,it gave me hope for Port, saw Port lose to Aber on 2nd Jan , we were poor.I cannot see Port scoring and don't think TNS will get more than 7 goals in this mis-match.
Welshpool Town v Port Talbot @ 3.20
Two concecutive defeats by Llanelli have moved Port Talbot from 2nd spot , I have thought that Welshpool have overachieved all season , but they proved their worth on Monday with a draw at TNS [ the first team to take points from TNS homeground ]- I am having 2nd thought about this one as I type this.

Any questions or comments will be welcomed

[choban]

Bangor City - Llanelli - PAST MATCHES:

27-08-2005	Premier League	Llanelli	Bangor City	5 - 0
18-12-2004	Premier League	Llanelli	Bangor City	5 - 1
14-08-2004	Premier League	Bangor City	Llanelli	6 - 0
22-03-2003	Premier League	Bangor City	Llanelli	8 - 0
09-11-2002	Premier League	Llanelli	Bangor City	2 - 5
16-02-2002	Premier League	Llanelli	Bangor City	2 - 6
20-10-2001	Premier League	Bangor City	Llanelli	2 - 0
28-04-2001	Premier League	Bangor City	Llanelli	3 - 2
24-03-2001	Premier League	Llanelli	Bangor City	2 - 4
22-01-2000	Premier League	Bangor City	Llanelli	1 - 3

I'm interested in this match,for AW of course...Are these clubs friendly or something...Just look at the last 4 games...this is quite strange?

[kompressaur]

LLaneli got a new chairman with some cash to spend pre season choban and he bought in some spaniards and some quality players for this league. We had a couple of nice touches on them but some players have left and their form has dipped from what ive picked up but them h2h's are misleading to the closeness of this one this season. Im sure Traeth could tell you more before he goes off pot smoking

[traeth]

Not much that interest me this weekend , as previously stated looks like bet365 have got the odds correct

Bangor City v Llanelli too difficult to predict
Aberystwyth v Newi Cefn Druids 1.53 home win
Caersws v Caernarfon see below
Carmarthen v Newtown looks like a draw but could go either way
Connah's Quay v Haverfordwestaway win @ 2.20
Cwmbran v Rhyl price now 1.57 for an away win ,Cwmbran could not beat Quins!
Grange Quins v Airbus UK two poor sides and cannot decide
T.N.S. v Porthmadog home win at very low odds so give it a miss
Welshpool Town v Port Talbot NO BET


Caersws v Caernarfon 1.66 3.40 4.33
I still have a soft spot for Caernarfon even though they have cost me a few pounds this season.I believe that they are in a false position and was expecting a change of fortune .The local derbies against Bangor over the Christmas period resulted in only one point with Bangor scoring late goals in both matches. Caersws had two wins against Newtown over the Christmas period .The current form table shows Caersws 3rd with Caernarfon last .Those stats should put me off , but I'm swayed by that performance by Caernarfon v Caersws at the start of this season.
Here are the recent H2H
2005-08-27 Caernarfon 6-0 Caersws
2005-04-16 Caersws 3-1 Caernarfon
2004-09-25 Caernarfon 0-1 Caersws
2004-01-24 Caernarfon 2-4 Caersws
2003-09-13 Caersws 2-2 Caernarfon

Everything indicates towards a home win ,but I'm tempted by an away win for Caernarfon. My recommendation for this match.
All sensible people should go for the home win.
I will be on Caernarfon "gut feeling"- Based on recent performances.

These are the results of Caernarfon games
2006-01-02 Caernarfon - Bangor City 1-1
2005-12-26 Bangor City - Caernarfon 1-0
2005-12-17 Caernarfon - Port Talbot 0-1
2005-12-10 TNS - Caernarfon 2-1
2005-11-18 Caernarfon - Porthmadog 1-2 , they beat Port in the Cup following weekweek
2005-11-12 Caernarfon - Newtown 0-0
2005-10-29 Haverfordwest - Caernarfon 2-2


These are Caersws recent results
2006-01-02 Newtown - Caersws 0-2
2005-12-26 Caersws - Newtown 2-1
2005-12-17 Haverfordwest - Caersws 0-0
2005-12-10 Caersws - Rhyl 1-1
2005-12-03 Cardiff GQ - Caersws 0-5
2005-11-18 Aberystwyth - Caersws 0-0

Good luck all

[undertaker]

Originally Posted by choban

Bangor City - Llanelli - PAST MATCHES:



I'm interested in this match,for AW of course...Are these clubs friendly or something...Just look at the last 4 games...this is quite strange?

those teams likes goals show patent :loon

[undertaker]

with your great help Traeth,

my selection from your list

Aberystwyth v Newi Cefn Druids 1.53 home win
Connah's Quay v Haverfordwestaway win @ 2.20

maybe some over 2.5 on Bangor City - Llanelli


nice trip and funny holiday in amsterdam

[kompressaur]

cheers Undertaker and good to see you mate.

[Lumberjack]

traeth, congratulations on forecasting (not more than) 7 goals for TNS, pointing the way to a strong HT bet. No sign of complacency yet despite their 12 point lead; do you think this will be a problem as the season wears on or do they just enjoy banging in the goals? Perhaps you could keep an eye on this in the weeks ahead.
Regards.

[traeth]

Originally Posted by traeth

Not much that interest me this weekend , as previously stated looks like bet365 have got the odds correct

Bangor City v Llanelli too difficult to predict
Aberystwyth v Newi Cefn Druids 1.53 home win 2-1
Caersws v Caernarfon see below :loon
Carmarthen v Newtown looks like a draw but could go either way
Connah's Quay v Haverfordwestaway win @ 2.20 1-1
Cwmbran v Rhyl price now 1.57 for an away win ,Cwmbran could not beat Quins! 1-7
Grange Quins v Airbus UK two poor sides and cannot decide
T.N.S. v Porthmadog home win at very low odds so give it a miss 7-0
Welshpool Town v Port Talbot NO BET


Caersws v Caernarfon 1.66 3.40 4.33


Everything indicates towards a home win ,but I'm tempted by an away win for Caernarfon. My recommendation for this match.
All sensible people should go for the home win.
I will be on Caernarfon "gut feeling"- Based on recent performances.



Good luck all

Results for Welsh Premier
Aberystwyth 2 - 1 Newi Cefn Druids
Bangor City 1 - 3 Llanelli
Caersws 3 - 4 Caernarfon
Carmarthen 6 - 0 Newtown
Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Haverfordwest
Cwmbran 1 - 7 Rhyl
Grange Quins 0 - 1 Airbus UK
T.N.S. 7 - 0 Porthmadog
Welshpool Town 2 - 1 Port Talbot

Nice to see you Choban and Undertaker , hope you did well on the Llanelli match.I will be available this week to give more details.

My comment

"I cannot see Port scoring and don't think TNS will get more than 7 goals in this mis-match."

was meant as sarcasm against my team - I could not believe the score when I saw it.

Thanks for helping out Komp


My money was on Caernarfon coming good , sorry I did not have enough faith in my gut feeling to make it a big recommendation.

Had a great time in Amsterdam :loon

[undertaker]

Originally Posted by kompressaur

cheers Undertaker and good to see you mate.

Kompss

...Traeth with your comments every week i ffind that welsh league is much profitable....few weeks ago started to loving

best regards

[kompressaur]

good show Undertaker and again tonight im gonna go push the welsh thread and try to get some south welsh fellas in. Welsh Football is all the rage i hear.