SPL, Scottish 1st/2nd/3rd division 25/2/06

[milners]

SPL
Dunfermline (11/8) Draw (11/5) Dundee Utd (13/8)

Scottish 1st division
Ross County (2/5) Draw (10/3) Stranraer (9/2)

Scottish 2rd division
Alloa (11/4) Draw (13/5) Raith (1/1)
Ayr (2/1) Draw (5/2) Peterhead (5/4)
Morton (2/5) Draw (7/2) Forfar (5/1)

Scottish 3rd division
Albion (7/2) Draw (11/4) Stenhousemuir (8/13)
East Fife (5/4) Draw (5/2) Montrose (9/5)
East Stirling (7/2) Draw (13/5) Arbroath (8/11)
Elgin (11/5) Draw (5/2) Cowdenbeath (6/5)
Queens Park (13/8) Draw (5/2) Berwick (11/8)

Odds from oddschecker.com


Hope the mods don't mind me putting the one SPL game in with the others fixtures.

Anyway lets get to the point Cowdenbeath 13/8 from skybet that must be a mistake - think they have mixed up the prices with Elgin!!!. Damn can't remember my skybet pin number, time to e-mail them but i think you won't get that price as its obviously a mistake and it should have 6/5.

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

No worries Milners.

Tough one that Dunfermline game is. Both sides getting pretty embarrassing results at the weekend and both will be hoping to bounce back.

Looks like a no bet to me.

For the rest of the games i will leave it to you guys

[MickeyPaul]

Skybet have Cowdenbeath @ 6/5 - just looking now.

[milners]

Originally Posted by MickeyPaul

Skybet have Cowdenbeath @ 6/5 - just looking now.

Changed that within 5 minutes of me looking - I couldn't believe it when i seen it, looked again and its changed either that or the pressure of playing komp in the cup is getting to me and i'm seeing things!!!.

[milners]

Right lets start with Dunfermline, i didn't know this game was on, obviously because Dunfermline have the league cup final in a few weeks and both out the scottish cup they decided to play this game so i haven't priced it up - lol. Not much between the teams i suppose, thought Dundee United had a poor record there but need to check, game could go either way but i have a slighty fancy with United with 13/8 is good value i think, Brewster is due a win and could it be against his old club???.

Ross County playing quite well and should beat Stranraer but not at that price for me.

Alloa could be a outside bet against Raith, don't rate Raith but Alloa need to get results quick or they are down i like the price although i do make Raith favourites but Alloa wasn't at 11/4 for me. Ayr at 2/1 is a tempter too just for value - yes Peterhead have been getting results and Ayr have been struggling but 2/1 for Ayr at home, could get involved in that. Morton 2/5 although should win they haven't got much to play for now have they, just wait for play-offs for them while Forfar need a few wins to stay out of play-offs position - stay away i think.

Stenny looks a bit short at 8/13 are they still missing Crambe??? If so stay away for me. I've got a gut feeling with East Fife this weekend although i hope we can get better than 5/4, going with nearly every report and i include Albion Rovers, there support has said Montrose are gash, now i'm worried with East Fife problems off the field here with the chairman but i'm might be interested in 6/4 as they have lost 6 or 7 on the trot now but i feel Montrose are poor and East Fife are better than them just - maybe its a stay away but what does the East Fife fans think??? East Stirling has picked up recently especially at home and Arbroath are poor travellers so 8/11 looks a bit skinny for me, reports from Trainbairn that the shire have picked up and expects them to be far better next season - think i could stay way from this. Elgin on form team of late 11/5 for them after beating Stenny and have won 7 wins out of 8 wow!!! That is now tempting as a outsider although i feel Cowdenbeath are a good team and need to win to kept up the pressure in Stenny though and fancy them before i had a quick look at Elgin record - now put off but had the gut feeling of Cowdenbeath!!! Damn was going to watch this game too on saturday since Aberdeen had a day off. Queens Park vs Berwick is a tough one to predict i think although Queens Park had a few injuries at Cowdenbeath, wait for team news on that.

[milners]

Just looking at Dundee Utd Record at Dunfermline and it is really bad, haven't won since 1997:

Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 Dundee United 24-09-2005
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 Dundee United 22-01-2005
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 Dundee United 07-08-2004
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 Dundee United 17-04-2004
Scottish FA Cup Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 Dundee United 10-01-2004
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Dundee United 01-11-2003
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 4-1 Dundee United 04-12-2002
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 Dundee United 24-11-2001
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 Dundee United 10-02-2001
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 Dundee United 26-08-2000
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 Dundee United 24-04-1999
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 Dundee United 15-11-1998
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 Dundee United 21-02-1998
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 3-3 Dundee United 04-10-1997
Scottish Premier Dunfermline Athletic 1-3 Dundee United 11-01-1997

[cakes]

over 2.5 could be the bet there as both have leaky backlines

[Danq]

Bad luck Milners managed to get a small bet on Alloa restricted stakes,(11/4),then tried to include them in 4 trebles and Acc no joy though, was lucky enough though to get Cowden 13/8 Berwick11/8 and E Fife 5/4 in 3 doubles and a trebble , I Just went for what I thought were value bets Had Alloa 2/1 Cowden 6/5 Berwick 11/10 E Fife 10/11 so hence the early bets, agree with most of your comments , dont like the price on Stenny either Denham out as well,saw Albion against Cowden 8/11 that day few weeks ago, nothing between the two at half time due to that pitch IMO cant pass the ball , Cowden eventualy got the better of them but at that price not for me. Fancied Arbroath a bit but again price to short thought they should have been slight odds on 10/11ish , backed E Fife only on the basis of my notes on them last 3 games Berwick 1 1 Montrose Berwick Dominated first half 21 goal attempts, Mont 0 0 Queens p All Q Park held on , Mont 2 2 Albion 2 down early Albion let them back into it should have been out of sight. Made E Fife 10/11 so 5/4 was ok . Also Ayr poss maybe (AH) with a start, looks tight game had Ayr a 7/4 chance, think Pete were fortunate against Thistle.

[Mr Chips]

Milners - Stop Ramping!! :-)

[milners]

Originally Posted by Mr Chips

Milners - Stop Ramping!! :-)

no way that was a mistake i made - although it was 2-0 at the time it was just unfortunate that it just changed 2-1 when i type it on the betfair forum and someone typed 1-1!!! the amount of abuse i got and i wasn't wrong!!!

Still i didn't bet much on murray as i know nothing about tennis but it was excellent match for trading although i'm nae very good at in-running betting but i thought i could trade with murray price as i thought he would give him a game.

[Mr Chips]

Haha, It was funny! I took Hewitt at the start and laid out at 1.08 thankfully, wish Id gone for Murray though. Anyway, Scottish football and Brian Irvine seems to be working wonders at Elgin although Cowdenbeath will be a very tricky game for them. Nothing jumps out. Ross County will def win!

[kompressaur]

iaint looked at the thread above lads as you know i dont like the initial influence. Lemma see briefly (no cigs ) what i fancy or not. Initial un odds expression is there aint much barr 1 or 2 from what i remember.not much in div 1 so i'll make my way up.

i'll predictably take Cowdenbeath. Will Elgin annoy us again? unbeaten in about 9 now the cnuts and i still dont rate them. Everyithing sorts itself out in the end i reckon. Berwick to sneak it 1-0 at Hampden?

Alloa 11/4 at the Rec they'rer having a laugh. Maybe not Aye peterhead i coulnt get binvolved in as truth be told i rate neither. Ayr are pretty hard to beat on their own patch.

fcuk i better go see what you all like as i like shite this week. bloody crap week with 9 games to go imo.

[kompressaur]

i think i agree with Milners and Danq. I cant see me getting to excited this week mind

[Danq]

Just noticed on Mickeys suspension thread that Queens will have problems at the back again as the same two are suspended Stark was moaning about 50% of his defence missing against Cowden 6 0 , same again I think this week.
PS Berwick miss Haynes suspended but still might be worth a look.

[kompressaur]

Scottish FA cup this weekend too. dont know if there is another thread for it or whether we need another thread for it

Berwck at 11/8 looks a good price to me. their good on the road and might enjoy the wide open spaces of Hampden. My major worry is they can't score goals (like QP) 7 goals in 11 games for Berwick. Theyre creating the chances mind but not putting them away. Always a worry.

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