international friendly

[specs]

Italy - South Africa		1.27	4.81	8.61

(betexplorer)

italy squad
Goalkeepers: Amelia [Livorno], Curci [Roma]

Defenders: Zaccardo [Palermo], Mesto [Udinese], Bonera [Milan], Gamberini [Fiorentina], P Cannavaro [Napoli], Chiellini [Juventus], Dossena [Udinese]

Midfielders: De Rossi [Roma], Palombo [Sampdoria], Nocerino [Juventus], Montolivo [Fiorentina], Semioli [Fiorentina], Foggia [Cagliari], Mauri [Lazio], Rosina [Torino]

Forwards: Lucarelli [S Donetsk], Gilardino [Milan]

today donadoni try 4-2-3-1 formation (Zaccardo, Gamberini, Bonera, Chiellini, De Rossi and Montolivo, Foggia, Rosina ,Mauri , Lucarelli )

south africa squad
Portieri: Rowen Fernandez (Arminia Bielefeld/Ger), Calvin Marlin (Mamelodi Sundowns)
Difensori: Bradley Carnell (Karlsruhe/Ger), Brett Evans (Ajax Cape Town), Bevan Fransman (Moroka Swallows), Vuyo Mere e Benson Mhlongo (Mamelodi Sundowns), Aaron Mokoena (Blackburn/Ing), Nasief Morris (Panathinaikos/Gre), Cyril Nzama (Kaizer Chiefs)
Centrocampisti: Delron Buckley (Borussia Dortmund/Ger), Lance Davids (Djurgardens/Sve), Kagisho Dikgacoi (Lamontville Golden Arrows), Teko Modise (Orlando Pirates), Siyabonga Nkosi (Arminia Bielefeld/Ger), Steven Pienaar (Everton/Ing), Macbeth Sibaya (Rubin Kazan/Rus), Bamuza Sono (Jomo Cosmos), Simphiwe Tshabalala (Kaizer Chiefs)
Attaccanti: Thembinkosi Fanteni (Ajax Cape Town), Benni McCarthy (Blackburn/Ing), Siyabonga Nomvete (Aalborg BK/Dan).
manager: Carlos Alberto Parreira

asia offering s.africa +1.75 @1.8 i think it worth a try since italy r using b team
maybe friend from italy give better opinion

[junior98]

fully agree with you i also think that south africa didnt look weak as hdp said , and now the odds already drop

http://www.safa.net/index.php?page=bafanachanges

[martini]

Austria-Ivory Coast: Austria have no change too win! ..think Drogba would make it alone...18:0 Goals for Ivory Coast....

[bakakadassa]

Japan - Egypt

Picks:
1- Lay Japan @1.82 w/BetFair OR back Egypt +0.5 A.H. @ 2.10 w/Bet365 (3 stakes)
2- Back Under 2.25 goals @ 1.95 w/BetFair (8 stakes)
3- Ht/Ft: Draw/Draw @ 5.00 w/BetFair (1 stake)

P.S. reduced stakes due to it being a friendly, but I would strongly advise you to take these bets in this proportion.

Reasoning:

Odds are totally unrealistic IMHO. First of all, Egypt is traveling with the best squad they can field. Apart from Mido whom is injured, noone else is missing.

Second; Japan has not called on their European based players. They are using only players from the J-League.

Third, Egypt usually does well against the Eastern Asian squads, and namely Japan & South Korea.

Japan’s palyed 3 friendlies after the Asian Cup campaign, and they won 2-0 over Cameroon and 4-3 over Switzerland, and drew 0-0 vs Austria.

Egypt’s last game was on Saturady at home vs Botswana, and the home team won by the odd goal and sealed their qualification to the African Cup of Nations finals in Ghana next January.

It was not at all what the fans expected from their national team though. They may have had possession most of the time, but they failed to pose any real threat on the Botswanian goal.

On the contrary, Botswana had 2 one-on-one breaks and could have scored if it wasn’t for the experience of El-Hadary.
But the substitutes worked well and Omar Gamal scored in the 75th minute to secure the win, and I would expect most of the Egyptian 2nd line-up to feature on this friendly, which –as weird as it may sound- is a better squad than the “old guards”.

However, knowing Shehata’s tactics (or rather lack of) I would expect a goalless draw.

Of course, nothing’s to be taken for granted, but the odds on Japan are way too low, so I am very much tempted to go full stakes laying Japan. (But note that my advice to YOU is to lay them with only 4 stakes).

In general, Egypt vs the two East Asian giants ends goalless or 1-0/0-1 at max. Nothing new here, and with Egypt's weak attack and strong defence vs a depleted Japanese side I would still expect a goalless draw, hence the under 2.25 is a very good bet, whilest 5.00 on the draw/draw double result represents value to me.

[engineer]

Great write-up, bakakadassa and from Specs also

Was considering the draw between Japan and Egypt, but maybe I'll take Egypt +0.5 in the end.
Under 2.5 is best priced in Interwetten and bWin - 1.75 and that looks a decent price, really. Bet365 and 10bet offer 1.95 for under 2.25.
Hope this friendly will bring many cigars all round.