Here are the different permutations for tonights game for those interested in a bet. (from the official webbie)
GROUP A: Spain (6pts) v Germany (3), Ukraine (0) v France (3)
• If
Spain draw or win they will reach the semi-finals in first place Spain will also go through if they lose unless they are beaten by a three-goal margin or more (other than 3-0) and France win. If Spain lose 3-0, France will need a win better than 3-1 to go through in second behind Germany.
•
Germany will go through with a win. If they do not record victory, they cannot progress unless France lose, Germany having been beaten by Les Mini-Bleus on Matchday 2. If Germany lose, they are able to finish second if Ukraine win by a scoreline of 3-0 or less.
•
France will go through with a win unless Germany also win by a scoreline of 3-0 or less. A draw for France will take them through unless Germany win. France cannot finish second if they lose, but if they are defeated by a one-goal margin and Germany are beaten, France will finish third ahead of Ukraine.
•
Ukraine must win to avoid finishing bottom. If they win and Germany do not lose, Ukraine will finish third and go to the fifth-place play-off and France will finish fourth. If Germany win, Ukraine must win by a scoreline better than 3-0 to finish second or by a two-goal margin to pip France to third place.
GROUP B: England (4) v Netherlands (4), Belgium (2) v Iceland (0)
•
The Netherlands only need to draw in Tubize to go through as even if Belgium win, the Dutch will have a better goals scored record than England in a three-way head-to-head tie-break between those two nations and the hosts. If the Netherlands lose they will finish second unless Belgium win.
•
England will finish top if they win. If they lose or draw 0-0 or 1-1, they can only go through if Belgium do not win. If they draw 3-3 or higher, they will go through behind the Netherlands. If England draw 2-2, they will go through unless Belgium win by a scoreline better than 2-0.
• If England finish 2-2 and Belgium win 2-0, second and third place will be decided by those nations' respective Fair Play coefficients. Currently Belgium (8.142) lead England (8.000) in the Fair Play ranking but these figures will change after Matchday 3.
•
Belgium must win to reach the semi-finals, and will definitely finish second if the other game is not drawn. A 0-0 or 1-1 draw between England and the Netherlands will mean a win would take Belgium through, but a 3-3 draw or higher in Tubize will mean Belgium cannot finish in the top two regardless of their result. A 2-2 draw between England and the Netherlands will leave Belgium needing to win by better than 2-0 - with that exact scoreline necessitating the Fair Play tie-break described above.
•
Iceland cannot reach the semi-finals but if they beat Belgium they will finish above the hosts and go to the fifth-place play-off.
GL