Kitchen Sink -Third Time Lucky

[stereoman]

I won....woo-hoo! Better late than never. Cynics will probably point out I didn't bother reporting the loss but turned up when reporting a profit....you're right. What else can I say?

BET 1: £20 loss (-£20)
BET 2: £38.46 profit (+£18.46)

This thread is probably inadvertently turned into a 'betting on the US box office opening weekend figures' thing.

The Greek still has odds up until 4pm EST which is good as I slept throughtout the night and only bothered waking up a few hours ago. This week's big opening film is The Break Up, a romantic comedy starring Jennifer Aniston and Vince Vaughn.

The line is: Over $28½ million (-135), Under $28½ million (+105)

Bettors are predicting it'll go over and even into $30 million+ and so I am but only for a tiddly small amount just in case it underperforms so um, £22.46 to win £16.64 (small baby steps? Yeah. ).

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Nice going there Stereoman and good luck with your bet this weeknd

[stereoman]

JAYSUS! Looks like it'll clear $30 million on Saturday!

This from Box Office Guru:

Moviegoers were lured in to see Vince Vaughn and Jennifer Aniston duke it out on Friday as their not-so-romantic comedy The Break-Up captured the number one spot with an estimated $15.8M in its first day of release. Debuting stronger than expected, the Universal release beat out the $10.8M opening day of Vaughn's Wedding Crashers from last summer as well as the $9.7M first day of Aniston's hit Along Came Polly. With such a solid start, The Break-Up could collect $42-46M over the entire weekend session swiping the box office crown from the mutant collective.

==========

If you can get it right by more-or-less following where the money's going, it's rare that the tracking or gamblers will fook up. Only Mission Impossible 3 and The Da Vinci Code causes any kind of problems because MI3 underperformed like a motherfooker and TDVC numbers were all over the place and beat revised expectations after the initial number had been lowered.

[stereoman]

Oh it was a piss-easy win for the Jennifer Aniston/Vince Vaughn flick but they took a fair while to grade it as they've usually settle bets on Monday night/Tuesday morning but I had to wait until Wedneday 7th.

http://www.imdb.com/boxoffice/?regio...ate=2006-06-02

Record so far:

BET 1: £20 loss (-£20)
BET 2: £38.46 profit (+£18.46)
BET 3: £16.64 profit (+£35.10)

I missed having a go at last week's box office because it seemed a bit difficult but Cars (the new flick from Pixar) underperformed and went under the suggested total of $74 million ('over $74m' and 'under $74m' were both (-115) shots).

Odds have been out since Wednesday in a mediocre week of new offerings: The Fast & The Furious: Tokyo Drift (the second sequel with nobody from the first two films in it), Garfield 2 (nobody asked for another), The Lake House (soppy Keanu Reeves and Sandra Bullock film) and Nacho Libre (Jack Black as a cook who masquerades as a Mexican wrestler).

The focus of this week's bet will be again over at The Greek and it's The Fast & The Furious: Tokyo Drift:

Over $24 million (+140), Under $24 million (-170)

I think Cars and Nacho Libre could take away most of it's intended juvenile audience. £40 to win £23.53 on 'under $24 million'.

[stereoman]

D'OH! I got beat by $56,000.

The line evn went down to $20 million with 'under $20 million' a favourite.

[stereoman]

The Greek have graded it as a push/cancel as the readjusted numbers after Sunday's estimates miraculously went DOWN on Monday night and not up!

Some sources suggested bang on $24 million (almost impossible) and some suggested $26,000 or so lower. Eh. better than a loss I suppose.

[GaNgStA kEeKs]

Get out of jail card there eh?

[stereoman]

Emmy nominations are out yesterday (the main industry awards for US television).

I'm putting a bet on Steve Carell to win Outstanding Actor in a Comedy Series like I should have at the Golden Globes back in January. £54.43 (the maximum they'll let me have! That isn't even $100!) at a stonking 2/1 to win £108.86 over at The Greek.

Winners are announced Sunday 27th August. Possibly more bets to come but these nominations are wacky enough without trying to determine the winner. :loon

[stereoman]

I haven't had a go at this for a few weeks now...time to get back on the wagon.

The remake of Miami Vice (starring Colin Farrell and Jamie Foxx) is out Friday and this is pretty much of one Colin's last chances after a string of flops.

The bet? £75 at (-140) to win £53.57 with The Greek that it'll make 'over $27 million' this weekend in the US (under $27 million is currently (+110)).

Estimates have it anything from low $30m to high $30m. I'm confident but I'm looking for it to do $10 million on Friday or this bet is sunk.

Also £40 to win £34.78 that The Ant Bully beats the handicap of (-$2.5 million) at odds of (-115) to beat out John Tucker Must Die's weekend box office total.

[stereoman]

UGH. I got blase and jumped straight in without checking other websites' predictions or where the money was going and I'm going to go 0-2 as a result. Miami Vice made $8.6 million on Friday (not good enough) and John Tucker is well ahead of Ant Bully.

Back to the drawing board (I'm going to admit defeat earlier than usual).

BET 1: £20 loss (-£20)
BET 2: £38.46 profit (+£18.46)
BET 3: £16.64 profit (+£35.10)
BET 4: push
BET 5: £75 loss (-£39.90)
BET 6: £40 loss (-£79.90)

[stereoman]

Eh. Time to get back on the wagon after falling off. I'm usually OK with those weird bets but I was reading the wrong info and I get thumped.

Time to inject some sports betting into this and it's probably not the best idea to go betting on US sports at the best of times but here I go with just a £21 bet to win £16.54 on the Philadelphia Phillies (-127) to beat the Florida Marlins in the early MLB match today.

Slowly, slowly catchy monkey and all that.

[stereoman]

Ugh. Well the worst thing I can do is go chasing but this is what I'm doing in dribs and drabs.

A £24 win double at The Greek to get back £33.57 on Detroit (-160) to beat Tampa Bay and Chicago White Sox (-210) to beat Kansas City.

Not big nor clever.

[stereoman]

Oh FFS. The one time I pick to oppose Tampa Bay. Just like football, betting on away favourites to do the business are just as dangerous to the bankroll. I'm writing this one off early. No way Detroit are coming back from 5-1 down.

BET 7: £21 loss (-£100.90)
BET 8: £24 loss (-£124.90)

Eh. Gonna clear my head.

[stereoman]

I've had a middling weekend with bets I haven't bothered to state but I'm gonna go F1 and bet on Jarno Trulli to finish in the points. Impressed with how he came from last to seventh in the German Grand Prix and being seventh on the starting grid in the Hungarian Grand Prix should be good news for the likes of me.

£34.51 at (-130) to win £26.55 at The Greek that Jarno Trulli with finish in the points.

[stereoman]

Wacky day for F1 and who'd have predicted the podium to consist of Button, de la Rosa and Heidfeld?

BET 9: £34.51 loss (-£159.41)

Absolute bag of spanners so far. Have had a couple of more bets on the Emmys on:

* £53.03 on The Office at (+200) to win £106.06 for Outstanding Comedy Series (has been bet down into (+150))
* £54.46 on Jane Kaczmarek at (+350) to win £190.61 for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series (has been bet down from (+600) into (+100) favourite)

So I'm hinging my hopes on the Emmys in a couple of weeks from now all of a sudden.