bwin,
Intertops and nordicbet should make me a very happy man on Thursday night. Look at these odds for the MTV Europe Music Awards and there are absolutely
HUGE discrepancies as to who each of them will think will win.
Who do you trust!? Nordicbet because they're got their eyes and ears in Scandinavia?
bwin because they'll probably have received a few shekels from a few folks?
Intertops who seemed to have smoked some ganja?
bwin:
Intertops:
Nordicbet:
Look who's turning up to perform!
...also Jet, Muse, Snoop Dogg and outlandish (!?) but they're not important facts here.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MTV_Eur...ic_Awards_2006
WHAT I THINK WILL HAPPEN...
I'm a firm believer in the 'You turn up, you win something' principle which served to good effect when I took a chance
last year on Coldplay at 9/1 over at
Ladbrokes when they turned up to the Nordic Music Awards to win Best International Band (didn't quite work when i punted on Shakira to win Best International Female and Gwen Stefani won instead.
).
Why is this important!? I think it is. At the recent MTV Video Music Awards Madonna and the Red Hot Chili Peppers got mulitple nominations, didn't turn up and didn't win anything which suggests that the public vote wasn't so public (the voting was fixed) and/or the public's taste is a thoroughly whacky one.
WHO I THINK WILL WIN...AND WITH MONEY
Best Male:
JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE
I'm not worried at all by Robbie Williams (he'll be fobbed off with Best Pop). Justin is the host and the show will revolve around him (Christina Aguilera hosted the show in Edinburgh back in 2003 and surprise, surprise she won Best Female).
Justin was 1.50 at Nordicbet and now bet down to 1.36. How on earth is the 'evens' at
Intertops still there!?
Limited to a £35 bet!
BET 20: £35 at 'evens' that Justin Timberlake will win Best Male (Intertops)
Best Female:
NELLY FURTADO
The worry in past years is that the winners will merely put up an acceptance speech by video (Britney Spears did that back in 2004 even though the only one of the five there was Anastacia). Beyonce, Christina Aguilera and Madonna are obviously big
BIG stars and could easily do that which makes this category a landmine to predict.
She's also nominated in other categories which means she's certainly not guaranteed to win here and may win for something else either in Best Song or Best Album.
Another danger is that there has possiibly been a gamble on Shakira as she was OTB over at
bwin and is now 11/4, second favourite at 13/10 over at Nordicbet and 3/1 at
Intertops.
I'll gamble on Nelly Furtado though and am prepared to face the consequences if I'm wrong with the juicy, juicy odds of 9/1.
Limited to a £6 bet!
BET 21: £6 at 9/1 that Nelly Furtado will win Best Female (Nordicbet)
Best Group:
KEANE
Red Hot Chili Peppers are supposed to be in attendance over in Copenhagen but aren't performing....I don't think so as they're in the middle of a
US tour which suggests if they win anything it'll be a pre-recorded acceptance speech by video or someone else will turn up to collect (possibly even Gnarls Barkley).
They're huge 1/2 favourites over at
bwin/Nordicbet and are in my opinion, unbettable at those odds especially when i think MTV hate their guts despite four nominations.
As fas as I know, the Pussycat Dolls and Black Eyed Peas aren't in attendance (what a completely crap result if either win! But BEP has been bet down from 15/1 into 12/ over at
bwin!) and a Depeche Mode win would be an
absolute shocker. Keane are playing and are also up for Best Rock Act but I'll doubt they'll win that but I'll have a small tickle they win Best Group though.
Limited to a £5.33 bet!
BET 22: £5.33 at 9/1 that Keane will win Best Group (Nordicbet)
Best Hip-Hop Act:
DIDDY
Why's he turning up to perform? Because he's going to collect the only award that he's up for, that's why (unless he's possibly there to collect an award for the Pussycat Dolls but that seems a wild guess from me). Sean Paul may be odds-on but I'm not afraid.
BET 23: £25 at 49/20 that Diddy will win Best Hip-Hop Act (bwin)
Best RnB Act:
RIHANNA
Beyonce's the favourite with
bwin but Rihanna is up for two prizes and I think she'll win one but not both of them (Best RnB Act and Best Song).
16/1 was such a pretty, pretty price for Rihanna but she's been bet down all the way into 5/1 (it's what happen when you miss the boat).
Limited to a £16.83 bet so a maximum of £100.95 winnings if she wins!
BET 24: £25 at 5/1 that Rihanna will win Best RnB Act (bwin)
Best Rock Act:
THE KILLERS
It'll be either them or Keane. Neither, one or both may go home empty-handed but this is a monster price being offered considering that The Killers' only nomination is in this category and that yes, just like all my other predicted winners they're there to perform...and possibly get to pick up an award as well.
I'm not scared of the Red Hot Chili Peppers being a huge 7/20 favourite (1/2 at Nordicbet) at
bwin. I am scared of Keane though but surely MTV will spread the love around like they're want to!?
Limited to a £6.73 bet so a maximum of £100.95 winnings if they win!
BET 25: £6.73 at 14/1 that The Killers will win Best Rock Act (bwin)
WHO I THINK WILL WIN...BUT NOT WITH MONEY
Best Album:
Black Holes and Revelations - Muse or
Loose - Nelly Furtado
Muse are up for three awards (Best Album, Best Alternative Act and Best UK & ireland Act) and I think they could provide the
absolute shocker of the night just like Limp Bizkit did when they won Best Album back in 2001). They will win but I'm not sure what exactly. This is as good an award as any.
nelly Furtado could be surprisingly be a 'big' winner on the night. I wouldn't be surprised if she beats off Christina Aguilera, Madonna, Muse and the Red Hot Chili Peppers to get a very surprise win.
Odds of 11/2 and 15/2 suggests I should have a tickle but I've only allowed myself a £75 budget over at
bwin just in case Thursday night is a complete disaster.
Best Song:
Maneater - Nelly Furtado or
SOS - Rihanna
it'd be a stupid win by either but we're still in an era of ringtones. Gnarls Barkley's
Crazy should be the winner but Nelly and Rihanna are in attendance and i expect one of them will win.
Odds of 5/1 and 8/1 respectively over at
Intertops.
Best Norwegian Act:
Mira Craig
How the hell am I supposed to know!?
there was a Norwegian guy trying to break into the UK charts a while back called Robert pst. He's good but not here which is a shame.
WHO I THINK WILL WIN...BUT NOT WITH MONEY BECAUSE FOR ONE THING, NO-ONE's OFFERING ODDS
Best Alternative:
Muse
Almost assuredly.
Best Pop:
Robbie Williams
Consolation prize for Robbie...unless Justin Timberlake wins two.
Best Video:
A Million Ways - OK GO
They're not on the bill but I suspect that being a huge internet favourite could help them to a win here. it's however a non- public vote category and it's voted for by MTV which suggests there could be a WTF winner in
We Are Your Friends by Justice vs Simian.
====================
Well there you have it. The masterplan which is unfortunately going to be scuppered by low limits.
Those bets again:
BET 20: £35 at 'evens' that Justin Timberlake will win Best Male (Intertops)
BET 21: £6 at 9/1 that Nelly Furtado will win Best Female (Nordicbet)
BET 22: £5.33 at 9/1 that Keane will win Best Group (Nordicbet)
BET 23: £25 at 49/20 that Diddy will win Best Hip-Hop Act (bwin)
BET 24: £16.83 at 5/1 that Rihanna will win Best RnB Act (bwin)
BET 25: £6.73 at 14/1 that The Killers will win Best Rock Act (bwin)
Kitchen Sink -Third Time Lucky
).
: 
) and a profit of a measly £122.01 for the night. Eh.
