Simple h2h's

[jtw1]

Treid something similar before with mixed results but i'm a persistant bugger .
Basically it's selecting teams that have a decent h2h advantage over todays opponents and we'll follow it as a paper trail .


SATURDAY
-----------

SPURS v sunderland 7-0-0 , odds = 1.5
S.LIBEREC v plzen 5-0-0 , odds = 1.85
STANDARD LIEGE v westerlo 9-1-0 , odds = 1.36
ANDERLECHT v aa gent 7-1-0 , odds = 1.65
NANCY v toulouse 5-0-0 , odds = 1.8
gaziantepspor v FEHNERBACHE 0-1-6 , odds = 1.8
fulham v ARSENAL 1-0-6 , odds = 1.57

Stake 10pts win on each.

[jtw1]

Forget what happened above i have had a look at past results where one side has a 7+ game advantage over their opponents for that day and here's what i found + selections using it for this weekends games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I only considered those games where one side had a 7+ game h2h advantage over their opponents and it was interesting .

Total No of games = 63
No of winners = 43

Longest Losing run = 3
Longest Winning run = 7 [ twice ]

Winning Odds ranged from 1.16 to 2.5

If a 1pt win single had been placed on those teams then a profit of 92.36pts would have been achieved.

I am definately going to follow these teams from now on and will post on a separate thread and will stake according to the odds on offer.

-------------------------------------------------------------

So here goes , REAL MONEY involved and i'm going to try and get a return of 50% or more on each investment .
That means if the selection is 1.5 or better then it will be a win single .
If , as you will observe this week , they are well under the 1.5 limit then Doubles or even Trebles will suffice.

Qualifiers for SAT/SUN -

RANGERS are 13-0-1 v Kilmarnock @ 1.25

P.S.V are 9-0-0 v Sparta @ 1.14

BARCELONA are 11-0-0 v Santander @ 1.28

AJAX are 11-1-1 v Roda @ 1.33

* Note , Due to the fact that the SPL teams play each other twice at home and away the stats for that league can be exagerated , so Rangers are just below the official limit of 7 but if we go back a bit further the stats are 15-0-2 which takes them just Over the 7 game advantage limit so i'm willing to take the chance.

BETS

1- 10pt Double RANGERS / BARCELONA

2- 10pt Double P.S.V / AJAX

All bets placed with bet365.

[Bigkegman]

Originally Posted by jtw1

Forget what happened above i have had a look at past results where one side has a 7+ game advantage over their opponents for that day and here's what i found + selections using it for this weekends games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I only considered those games where one side had a 7+ game h2h advantage over their opponents and it was interesting .

Total No of games = 63
No of winners = 43

Longest Losing run = 3
Longest Winning run = 7 [ twice ]

Winning Odds ranged from 1.16 to 2.5

If a 1pt win single had been placed on those teams then a profit of 92.36pts would have been achieved.

I am definately going to follow these teams from now on and will post on a separate thread and will stake according to the odds on offer.

-------------------------------------------------------------

So here goes , REAL MONEY involved and i'm going to try and get a return of 50% or more on each investment .
That means if the selection is 1.5 or better then it will be a win single .
If , as you will observe this week , they are well under the 1.5 limit then Doubles or even Trebles will suffice.

Qualifiers for SAT/SUN -

RANGERS are 13-0-1 v Kilmarnock @ 1.25

P.S.V are 9-0-0 v Sparta @ 1.14

BARCELONA are 11-0-0 v Santander @ 1.28

AJAX are 11-1-1 v Roda @ 1.33

* Note , Due to the fact that the SPL teams play each other twice at home and away the stats for that league can be exagerated , so Rangers are just below the official limit of 7 but if we go back a bit further the stats are 15-0-2 which takes them just Over the 7 game advantage limit so i'm willing to take the chance.

BETS

1- 10pt Double RANGERS / BARCELONA

2- 10pt Double P.S.V / AJAX

All bets placed with bet365.

I tried this a few years ago (very similar) ago before I discovered the internet and it would have been profitable if I had have followed the system but I couldn't get myself bothered to go and back a double of 1/2 or 3/10 shots midweek..........

i'll try and look out the records but i think they're gone


just for the hang of it I've done an accie on them all

[selectabet]

At those odds it'll be a long road to profit.

Good luck mate.

[jtw1]

BARCELONA bugger up BIGKEG'S acca and our double after drawing 1-1

RANGERS 2-1
PSV 1-0

So waiting for AJAZ tomorrow

[jtw1]

Please note the following LARGE mistake i've made

If a 1pt win single had been placed on those teams then a profit of 92.36pts would have been achieved.

That profit figure is wrong i'm afraid
It should be 9.27 pts

Apologies all round .

[jtw1]

3 for the weekend -

ANDERLECHT v charleroi 8-0-1 , odds = 1.33 [fri]
SP LISBON v belenenses 11-0-0 , odds = 1.33 [sat]
RANGERS v motherwell 18-1-0 , odds = 1.28 [sun]

Stake 10pt treble with bet 365 odds returns = 22.64pts

[jtw1]

ANDERLECHT v charleroi 2-0
SP LISBON v belenenses 2-0

for RANGERS on Sunday

[jtw1]

ANDERLECHT v charleroi 2-0
SP LISBON v belenenses 2-0
RANGERS v motherwell 2-1

Stake 10pt treble with bet 365 odds returns = 22.64pts


Profit after 2 bets = 7.80 pts

[Bigkegman]

nice going jtw1 - might start following again

[jtw1]

PORTO v ferreira 7-0-0 , odds = 1.22 [fri]

CELTIC v aberdeen 23-0-2 , odds = 1.33 [sat]

CLUB BRUGGE v westerlo 10-1-0 , odds = 1.5 [sat]

AJAX v vitesse 8-0-1 , odds = 1.22 [sun]


10pt treble - PORTO , CELTIC , AJAX returns 19.80pts

10pt single - CLUB BRUGGE returns 15pts

[Bigkegman]

going with Porto, Ajax and Brugge treble jtw1

treble pays 6/5

[jtw1]

1 down 2 to go BKM

PORTO 2-0

[Bigkegman]

Originally Posted by jtw1

1 down 2 to go BKM

PORTO 2-0

thank you jtw1................

not drinking and i even missed the score when i was looking through livescore

[jtw1]

AJAX 3-0 with 5 mins to go , think we're collecting BKM