1st half/2nd half most goals system

[rcgills]

Only one game from the midweek fixtures:

Chesterfield v Scunthorpe 1st half to have most goals @ 3.10

[rcgills]

Actually, have just realised I miscalculated in here last week. Think I counted the Leeds v Sunderland loser again, when it had already been included in the post above as the pending bet.

Anyway, 7 winning bets, 6 of them at 2.1 and one at 3.1 makes 8.7 points gained, minus 7 points for the 7 losing bets, makes a 1.7pt profit, not 0.7, so the current bank is actually 101.7.

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Chesterfield v Scunthorpe 1st half to have most goals @ 3.10

Win/Lose: 8/7
Start bank: 100
Current bank: 103.8
Profit/Loss: +3.8
Yield: 25.33%

Six games have now been played by most Premiership teams, so will now start including them too. Spanish Segunda will reach 6 games this weekend, and not long after there'll be the Spanish Primera too.

[rcgills]

Been thinking about it, and am not really sure why I've not been including the "draw" option (i.e. both halves to have the same number of goals) so far. Generally priced at 3.50 with Bet365 (although Sporting Odds normally have it at 3.2), have decided to set 60% as the qualifying percentage here too.

Six picks for this weekend's (1pt on each as always):

Everton v Man City 1st half most goals (4 from 6 so far) @ 3.1
Blackburn v Wigan 2nd half (5 from 6) @ 2.1
Stoke v Preston both halves equal (5 from 8) @ 3.25 (a rare variation from the standard prices there)
Crewe v Carlisle both halves equal (6 from 10) @ 3.5
Bradford v Tranmere both halves equal (6 from 10) @ 3.5
Rochdale v Shrewsbury 2nd half (8 from 10) @ 2.1

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Everton v Man City 1st half most goals (4 from 6 so far) @ 3.1 denied by City's last gasp equaliser
Blackburn v Wigan 2nd half (5 from 6) @ 2.1 - not yet played
Stoke v Preston both halves equal (5 from 8) @ 3.25 (a rare variation from the standard prices there)
Crewe v Carlisle both halves equal (6 from 10) @ 3.5
Bradford v Tranmere both halves equal (6 from 10) @ 3.5
Rochdale v Shrewsbury 2nd half (8 from 10) @ 2.1

Well, only 2 winners from 5, but they were the two bigger priced ones, so 6.75 points returned, with one still to play.

Win/Lose: 10/10
Start bank: 100
Current bank: 104.55 (with one still to come, the 1pt on that remaining bet already deducted from this bank)
Profit/Loss: +4.55 (plus anything from tomorrow's game)

[rcgills]

The Blackburn v Wigan one lost, but still a 0.75pt profit for the weekend.

Win/Lose: 10/11
Start bank: 100
Current bank: 104.55
Profit/Loss: +4.55
Yield: 21.67%

[rcgills]

Only one definite qualifier for this weekend, and that's Ciudad de Murcia v Malaga 2nd half most goals (5 from 6 so far), so 1pt on that at 2.1

Also not sure whether to include Forest v Scunthorpe 1st half most goals. 7 from 12 so far, which is 58.33%, so just short of the 60% mark I'd set. Think I'll leave it out for now, but keep a track of all those in the future that fall just short of the marks I've set, see how they get on, to see whether it's worth revising the limits down slightly later in the season.

Just one for this weekend then, the Ciudad de Murcia v Malaga one.

[rcgills]

That Spanish one was a loser, and the Forest v Scunthorpe one would also have lost.

Win/Lose: 10/12
Start bank: 100
Current bank: 103.55
Profit/Loss: +3.55
Yield: 16.14%

[rcgills]

Two qualifiers from England this week, plus 2 near misses (as above, won't be including them in the system, but just keep track of them)

Villa v Spurs 1st half (4 from 6 so far) @ 3.1
Huddersfield v Carlisle both halves equal (8 from 12) @ 3.5

The two near misses were Rotherham v Brentford 1st half (7 from 12, or 58%), and Hereford v Darlington 2nd half (9 from 12, or 75%).

Five qualifiers from the Spanish Segunda, which I'll post up once the odds are out.

[rcgills]

Sporting Odds have the prices up for the Spanish Segunda now, so 1pt on each of the following, all at 2.10:

Madrid B v Ciudad de Murcia 2nd half (6 from 6 so far)
Tenerife v Sporting Gijón 2nd half (6 from 6)
Lorca v Salamanca 2nd half (5 from 6)
Almeria v Albacete 2nd half (5 from 6)

One game yet to come is Ponferradina v Valladolid both halves equal (4 from 6 so far), Sporting Odds prices on both halves the same are 3.2, Bet365 normally goes 3.5, so will wait and see when their odds come out.

[rcgills]

Odds are now out on Bet365, they're only offering 3.25 on both halves equal in Ponferradina v Valladolid. Still better than the 3.2 with Sporting Odds though, so 1pt at 3.25.

Just to recap, 7pts staked this weekend, 5 in the Spanish Segunda, 1 in the EPL and one in the English League 1.

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Villa v Spurs 1st half (4 from 6 so far) @ 3.1
Huddersfield v Carlisle both halves equal (8 from 12) @ 3.5

The two near misses were Rotherham v Brentford 1st half (7 from 12, or 58%), and Hereford v Darlington 2nd half (9 from 12, or 75%).

Originally Posted by rcgills

Madrid B v Ciudad de Murcia 2nd half (6 from 6 so far)

One winner (thanks to Madrid B scoring twice in the last 5 mins), two losers on today's games, so 0.9 pts down so far. The two "near misses" would also have been losers.

The other 4 Spanish games to come tomorrow.

[rcgills]

Originally Posted by rcgills

Tenerife v Sporting Gijón 2nd half (6 from 6)
Lorca v Salamanca 2nd half (5 from 6)
Almeria v Albacete 2nd half (5 from 6)

Odds are now out on Bet365, they're only offering 3.25 on both halves equal in Ponferradina v Valladolid. Still better than the 3.2 with Sporting Odds though, so 1pt at 3.25.

Not the best of weekends then, just 2 winners from 7, 7pts staked and 5.35 returned. Still in profit overall though.

Win/Lose: 12/17
Start bank: 100
Current bank: 101.9
Profit/Loss: +1.9
Yield: 6.55%

[rcgills]

5 for this weekend:

Reading v Arsenal 1st half (5 from 7 so far) @ 3.1
Zaragoza v Betis 2nd half (5 from 6 so far) @ 2.1
Espanyol v Racing 2nd half (5 from 6 so far) @ 2.1
Valladolid v Elche 1st half (5 from 8 so far) @ 3.2 (as opposed to normal 3.1, Bet365)
Las Palmas v Tenerife 1st half (5 from 8 so far) @ 3.2 (as opposed to normal 3.1, Bet365)

Am going to stop doing all this as of now. Taking up far too much of my time. If anyone wants to carry it on and wants all the results for so far this season, let me know.

[rcgills]

3/3 losers today, probably just as well I'm stopping