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11-04-2007, 08:36
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Join Date: Feb 2006
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Good to see that systems & strategies are back on the front page again, not hidden away in a dusty corner 
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11-04-2007, 11:04
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
A little premature on the florida game, should never trust dodgy scores services, apparently it was postponed in the 10th inning with the score tied @ 2-2, so it will finish today before their scheduled game.
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11-04-2007, 11:32
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Can't be bothered to keep writing out all the details, but each bet will still be recorded for both staking methods.
Bet 14 texas @ 1.64 (tampa bay L4)
Bet 15 ny mets @ 1.72 (philadelphia L3)
Bet 16 st. louis @ 1.8 (st louis W3)
Bet 17 atlanta @ 1.45 2 pts (atlanta W3, washington L5)
If florida do win that game to be completed then there may be a bet on them later depending on the average odds.
Last edited by pydoom : 11-04-2007 at 11:33.
Reason: spelling was shite
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12-04-2007, 00:12
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Well, florida just lost in the 13th innings - so only 2 winners yesterday & 3 losers.
Quote:
Bet 13 florida @ 1.83 (mansion) - 1 pt (florida W3) 
Bet 13a florida @ 1.83 - to win 1 pt (ie 1.21 pts staked)
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12-04-2007, 08:23
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
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12-04-2007, 09:51
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Time to update the bank.
RECORD 7-10
BANK A(fixed stake): 94.13 pts (15pts staked) 5.87 pts loss
BANK B(fixed profit): 92.57 pts (30.79 pts staked) 7.43 pts loss
Still early days and I really should have waited a few weeks for things to settle down, but c'est la vie. I will be doing a monthy total so it will be easy to see if april is significantly worse than the rest of the season.
The fixed profit method is already doing significantly worse & that is what I expected because from last seasons data there did not seem to be much difference in results, no matter what the odds, until you got towards 2 and above. So, much so that it is possible that a lower odds limit is needed as well, but I need more data to see if that would improve things.
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12-04-2007, 13:23
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Pretty light schedule today and nothing actually qualifies as a bet - will be recording the atlanta-washington result as washington now on a 6 game losing streak.
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13-04-2007, 17:13
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Glad I didn't bet on the atlanta game as they lost, despite being apparent locks to extend washingtons losing streak to 7.
No bets again today as the average odds in all 4 possible games are too high, I will be recording them for posterity though.
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14-04-2007, 16:16
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Bet 18 baltimore @ 1.59
Bet 19 st. louis @ 1.83
Bet 20 san francisco @ 1.84
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15-04-2007, 09:27
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Quote:
Bet 18 baltimore @ 1.59 
Bet 19 st. louis @ 1.83 
Bet 20 san francisco @ 1.84 - Game Postponed due to rain
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15-04-2007, 10:03
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Bet 20 milwaukee @ 1.885
Bet 21 boston @ 1.538
Bet 22 baltimore @ 1.96 - 2 pts (This a very borderline bet as the average is right on 1.9 at the moment)
The re-arranged pittsburgh-san francisco game may be a bet as well, but there are no odds about at the moment.
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15-04-2007, 16:48
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Well the boston, baltimore & san francisco games are all postponed due to rain, so just 1 bet surviving then. This is good new in a way because I feel the less bets in april the better, but if the games are made up as double-headers that may have a distorting effect later on.
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16-04-2007, 13:35
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Quote:
Bet 20 milwaukee @ 1.885 
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Another loser.
3 qualifying games today.
Bet 21 detroit @ 1.42
Bet 22 boston @ 1.559
Bet 23 st louis @ 1.82 |
17-04-2007, 10:00
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
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17-04-2007, 13:02
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Re: Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
Actually the odds on that detroit bet should have been 1.52, but it ain't going to make any difference in the grand scheme of things so I won't bother changing it.
Of the 5 possible today, only 2 have average odds low enough to qualify.
Bet 24 boston @ 1.7
Bet 25 detroit @ 1.52(again)
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Baseball Streaks XXIII: The Final Fight
